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Record W7038625899

Ice is Melting While Discussions of Global Warming Freeze

2018· article· en· W7038625899 on OpenAlex

Classification

machine, unvalidated

Machine predicted; a candidate call from one teacher head, not a consensus.

The models applied no category: nothing in the taxonomy fit this work.
Study designObservational
Domainnot available
GenreEmpirical

How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".

Why this work is in the frame

A frame that forgets how it found something cannot be audited. These are the routes that admitted this work.

aboutThe title or abstract carries a Canadian signal from the geographic lexicon.
no affNo Canadian affiliation: this work is invisible to an affiliation-only frame.
No Canadian affiliation. An affiliation-only frame, the usual design, would never have seen this work. It is one of the works that make the case for inverting the frame.

Bibliographic record

VenueScholarly Commons (University of the Pacific) · 2018
Typearticle
Languageen
FieldPhysics and Astronomy
TopicAstronomy and Astrophysical Research
Canadian institutionsnot available
Fundersnot available
KeywordsMontreal ProtocolGlobal warmingOzone depletionPoliticsParallelsRatificationScientific consensusClimate change
DOInot available

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

As the threat of global warming becomes evermore prominent, a cohesive course of action regarding this issue becomes less and less feasible for the United States. Debate about global warming divides sharply along party lines, which has moved discussion of the problem away from science and into a vicious cycle of partisan political debate. In the 1980s, ozone depletion posed a similar threat to the globe, and nations all over the world, including the United States, stepped up and addressed the problem through the Montreal Protocol. What can the success of the Montreal Protocol teach about ongoing efforts to address global warming? This research dives into the events leading up to the establishment of the Montreal Protocol, including the scientific discovery of ozone depletion and the political reactions to this. The research then analyses parallels between these events and current efforts to address global warming science to document key similarities and differences. Through this comparison, this research seeks to identify why the United States has failed to address global warming. Findings indicate that though both scenarios played out in strikingly similar ways, involving industry resistance and avid counter-claims movements, ozone depletion was ultimately addressed upon discovery of what has come to be known as the ozone “hole” over Antarctica. This discovery created the political urgency needed to achieve ratification of the Montreal Protocol. Global warming is less easily indicated by one significant discovery. It is a cumulative phenomenon, making a similar catalyst unlikely in this case. Industry push-back and the public perception of mixed information on global warming research further hinders progress. Since the same urgency which propelled Montreal cannot be expected to similarly launch global warming efforts, the identified obstacles facing warming mitigation must be confronted directly.

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

How this classification was reachedexpand

Full frame distilled prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.000
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.000
Version: codex-gemma-dda1882f352aValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesnone
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Observational · Consensus signal: Observational
GenreCandidate signal: Empirical · Consensus signal: Empirical
Teacher disagreement score0.142
Threshold uncertainty score0.660

Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0000.000
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0000.000
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0000.000
Bibliometrics0.0000.000
Science and technology studies0.0010.001
Scholarly communication0.0000.001
Open science0.0010.001
Research integrity0.0000.000
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0010.000

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.018
GPT teacher head0.240
Teacher spread0.222 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it