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Record W7071363067

South East Economy Review

2010· other· en· W7071363067 on OpenAlexaboutno aff

Bibliographic record

VenueMunich Personal RePEc Archive (Munich University) · 2010
Typeother
Languageen
FieldEconomics, Econometrics and Finance
TopicGerman Economic Analysis & Policies
Canadian institutionsnot available
Fundersnot available
KeywordsRecessionInvestment (military)Tertiary sector of the economyProfit (economics)Quarter (Canadian coin)Profit marginBusiness sectorWorld economyBusiness cycle
DOInot available

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

The 18-month long global recession bottomed out in spring 2009 and the economy has been gradually heading towards recovery since
\nsummer 2009. Following six consecutive quarters of negative growth, the UK economy emerged from its deepest and longest recession for
\n60 years in the final quarter of 2009, with output growth of 0.3%. At UK level, the production and construction sectors saw the largest drop in output in absolute terms over the course of the recession, but the relatively large contribution that the service sector makes to the UK economy means that services made a greater contribution to the overall GDP decline. In the South East, business activity has shown sustained growth in recent months, largely driven by a strong increase in manufacturing output. The proportion of firms reporting improvement in the business climate also increased over the course of 2009. However, profit margins continue to be squeezed as sales fall, customers demand
\nlower prices, and input costs increase. Smaller companies in the region have been hardest hit by the recession, particularly in the manufacturing, construction and distribution sectors. Smaller firms still face difficulties in accessing credit from banks. The volume of new orders has been increasing at its fastest rate for more than two years in the South East, as a positive signal of future growth. At the same time, following a large drop in business investment over the course of the recession, there are signs that investment is picking up amongst South East businesses.

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

How this classification was reachedexpand

Full frame distilled prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.000
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.000
Version: codex-gemma-dda1882f352aValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesMeta-epidemiology (narrow), Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)
Consensus categoriesInsufficient payload (model declined to judge)
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Not applicable · Consensus signal: Not applicable
GenreCandidate signal: Other · Consensus signal: Other
Teacher disagreement score0.365
Threshold uncertainty score0.999

Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0000.000
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0010.001
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0020.001
Bibliometrics0.0020.000
Science and technology studies0.0000.001
Scholarly communication0.0000.000
Open science0.0020.001
Research integrity0.0000.001
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0170.006

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.020
GPT teacher head0.186
Teacher spread0.166 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it

Classification

machine, unvalidated

Machine predicted; both teacher heads agree on what is shown here.

Study designNot applicable
Domainnot available
GenreOther

How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".

Quick stats

Citations0
Published2010
Admission routes1
Has abstractyes

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