March 1961 MONTHLY WEATHER REVIEW 147 CORRESPONDENCE Comments on “The Weather and Circulation of July
Bibliographic record
Abstract
The discussions of tropical storms Becky and Celia by Mr. Posey [l] do not agree with analyses carried out in this office. Ever since the disastrous Northumberland Strait Storm [2] forecasting meteorologists in eastern Canada have been keenly watchful of small storms of tropical origin. The disturbance which eventually developed into Becky was first detected in the ESSA 2 photograph of June 29 (Pass 1534), and the photograph taken by Nimbus 2, Pass 630, 1500 GMT July 1 showed well-defined spiral bands, a definite circulation center, and indications of an eye. The ESSA 2 photograph of July 2 (Pass 1572) indicated a mature storm. At 0000 GMT July 3 a ship near 42 ’ N. reported wind gusts of 65 kt. By 1200 GMT July 3 the circulation center was about 150 mi. east of Sable Island, was moving northwestward, and could still be identified in the ESSA 2 photograph (Pass 1585). Becky was not dropped from the surface charts until 0000 GMT July 4 when its remnants were close to Cape Breton. Celia appeared to have two distinct lives of at least a quasi-tropical nature, the later of which was carried on our surface charts from July 19 to 22. The existence and position of the circulation were corroborated also by the satellite photographs during this period, e.g., ESSA 2, Pass 1813 on July 21 and ESSA 2, Pass 1827 on July 22. On July 21 the storm passed very close to Sable Island, where the sea level pressure fell 7 mb. in slightly over one hour prior to the passage of the storm, and it was still identifiable when it passed over the southwestern tip of Newfoundland early on July 22.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame distilled prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.
Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.002 | 0.001 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.012 | 0.001 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; both teacher heads agree on what is shown here.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".