Forestry production and Trade For the march 2009 Quarter 1 Overview
Bibliographic record
Abstract
During the March 2009 quarter production levels of all stage one wood processing in New Zealand declined compared with the same quarter last year. Many mills reported shift reductions or extended shut downs, due to a decline in both domestic and international demand. With the exception of particleboard and wood pulp, export volumes decreased in the March 2009 quarter, compared with the same quarter in the previous year. In contrast, a favourable exchange rate and lower sea freight costs meant that export earnings from all forest products increased. Export volumes to most trading partners declined in the March 2009 quarter, with the exception of China, who increased export volumes of New Zealand logs, sawn timber and wood pulp exports. Particleboard was the only product with increased export earnings this quarter. Harvesting activity Roundwood removals over the March 2009 quarter declined 8.3 percent to 4.3 million cubic metres compared with the December 2008 quarter. This is the lowest level of harvesting since March 2006. The main drivers for this were declining demand for wood products, and industry efforts to reduce inventory levels. Export logs and poles International demand for New Zealand logs weakened in the March 2009 quarter compared with the December 2008 quarter, with exports declining to all major trading partners except China. Total log export volumes were 1.6 million cubic metres, down 12.7 percent compared with the previous quarter. Export volumes to China over the March 2009 quarter increased 29.7 percent to 842 000 cubic metres compared with the December 2008 quarter. This was nearly double the volume of logs exported to Korea (previously the major destination of New Zealand logs) and has made China the largest consumer of New Zealand logs. Log export volumes to China have rapidly grown in recent times, increasing 125.2 percent compared with the March quarter last year. Reportedly, the Chinese fiscal stimulus package and rebuilding work in earthquake affected areas of the Szechuan Province has driven the demand for logs in China over the March 2009 quarter. A favourable exchange rate and low sea freight costs also contributed to the increase, making
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame machine prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.
Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.002 | 0.003 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.002 | 0.001 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.122 | 0.056 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".