Longitudinal Increases in Subjective Cognitive Concerns are associated with Changes in Global Cognitive Performance: Findings from Daily Digital Diary Assessments in the Einstein Aging Study (EAS)
Bibliographic record
Abstract
BACKGROUND: Ecological momentary assessment (EMA) is increasingly used to assess subjective cognitive concerns (SCCs), or self-perceived memory and cognitive difficulties, without reliance on retrospective recall. While elevated SCCs are associated with increased risk of cognitive decline, little research has examined joint longitudinal trajectories of SCCs and cognitive function. We used smartphone-based EMA to explore associations between SCC trajectories and trajectories in the telephone version of the Montreal Cognitive Assessment (T-MoCA) scores in community-dwelling older adults. METHODS: Analyses included 219 Einstein Aging Study participants (mean age = 77.50, SD = 5.01; 69.86% female; 47.94% Non-Hispanic White, 42.01% Non-Hispanic Black, 10.05% Hispanic; 23.74% MCI; median follow-up = 4 years, dementia-free). Participants reported perceived cognitive lapses once daily at night over 14 days and repeated these assessments annually (2017-2022). Cognition was assessed via the validated 22-item telephone Montreal Cognitive Assessment (T-MoCA; normal cognition > 18). Latent class linear mixed-effects models identified clusters of longitudinal changes in SCCs while adjusting for age, gender, race/ethnicity, cognitive status, and depression (GDS). Subsequently, we characterized T-MoCA trajectories across these SCC groups using linear mixed-effects models with piecewise splines to account for learning effects, adjusting for age, gender, and race/ethnicity. RESULTS: We identified two SCC trajectory groups (Figure 1): (1) a consistently low SCC group (N = 199) with a low number of SCCs and a slight non-significant longitudinal increase (SCC baseline mean = 0.74), and (2) a group with increasing SCC (N = 15) with a higher baseline mean mean (4.34) and a yearly increase of 0.81 SCCs (p < 0.001). These SCC trajectory groups exhibited distinct longitudinal patterns in the T-MoCA (Figure 2). We found no group differences in T-MoCA at baseline, nor did we observe significant differences in learning across the initial three annual assessments. The group with increasing SCCs showed declining T-MoCA scores after the initial three annual assessments (p = 0.02), whereas the group with consistently low SCCs did not demonstrate decline. CONCLUSIONS: Longitudinal SCC trajectories correlate with distinct cognitive trajectories in the T-MoCA. Our results indicate that increasing SCCs may predict declines in objective cognitive performance.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame machine prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.
Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.003 | 0.010 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.001 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".