Defining tau PET positivity grey zones for MK6240 and Flortaucipir quantification
Bibliographic record
Abstract
Abstract Background Tau PET measures are inherently continuous and applying dichotomized thresholds introduces conceptual and analytical idiosyncrasies. Understanding the limitations in the transition from tau‐negative to tau‐positive classifications is crucial for the effective use of these thresholds. This study aims to determine the confidence levels of tau PET thresholds of abnormality for different tau PET tracers by characterizing their “gray zone” using the universal tau PET scale (Uniτ, www.unitau.app ). Method We evaluated 485 individuals across the aging and AD spectrum from the HEAD study, with head‐to‐head scans for MK6240 and Flortaucipir. Uniτ estimates were derived from the Meta‐Temporal ROI. Tau positivity (T+) was defined as Uniτ values exceeding the mean plus 3 SD of individuals younger than 28 years ( n = 24). Two physicians independently performed a visual assessment of tau positivity for each tracer, with agreement indicating clear tau pathology (TVR+). Logistic regression was used to estimate the probability of TVR+ across Uniτ values for each tracer ( n = 189, CU elderly Aβ‐ and CI Aβ+). Individuals were classified as negative, positive, or within a “gray zone” between the most liberal T+ threshold and varying TVR+ probability thresholds (50%, 75%, 90%, 95%, and 99%). Result The Uniτ gray zone, defined as a function of TVR+ probabilities, demonstrated consistency between the two tracers, with differences observed only in the decimal range. The most liberal Uniτ threshold for T+ was 11.0 for both MK6240 and Flortaucipir, closely matching the 50% TVR+ probability threshold (11.1 for MK6240 and 11.7 for Flortaucipir). Higher TVR+ probabilities corresponded to increased Uniτ values with MK6240 and Flortaucipir showing near‐identical values between the tracers: 14.2 and 14.8 for 75%, 17.3 and 17.9 for 90%, 19.4 and 19.9 for 95%, and 24.1 and 24.6 for 99%, respectively (Figure 1). In total, 26 participants fell within the gray zone for MK6240, compared to 47 participants for Flortaucipir. Conclusion These findings highlight the potential of Uniτ to provide a standardized approach for assessing tau positivity across tracers. By combining quantitative Uniτ measures with visual assessments, we enhance the understanding of tau positivity certainty, particularly in the transition between negative and positive classifications.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame machine prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.
Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.006 | 0.013 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.002 | 0.001 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Open science | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Research integrity | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.001 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".