Combining Cytokine-Related Biomarkers to Better Define Tumor Necrosis Factor-α Antagonist Response in Inflammatory Bowel Disease: An Observational Cohort Study
Bibliographic record
Abstract
INTRODUCTION: Interleukin-13 receptor alpha 2 (IL13RA2), triggering receptor expressed on myeloid cells-1 (TREM-1), and oncostatin M (OSM) may be associated with response to tumor necrosis factor-α antagonists (TNFAs) in inflammatory bowel disease. We aimed to assess the direction of association between TNFA-induced clinical remission and IL13RA2 and TREM-1, respectively, and assess the value of combining biomarkers for identifying nonresponders. METHODS: Plasma samples from a retrospective inflammatory bowel disease cohort were collected before TNFA start. Clinical remission at 1-year, surgery, hospitalization, adverse drug events, and TNFA discontinuation were assessed. IL13RA2 and TREM-1 concentrations were compared between those with and without 1-year clinical remission. OSM data were obtained from our previous cohort. Where significant, TREM-1 and IL23RA2 thresholds associated with clinical remission at 1-year were assessed using a receiver operating characteristic analysis. Significant biomarkers were combined using a linear discriminant analysis. The performance characteristics were assessed for individual biomarkers and biomarker combinations. RESULTS: In Crohn's disease (CD) (n = 95) and ulcerative colitis (UC) (n = 53), higher IL13RA2 concentrations, but not TREM-1, were found among those not achieving TNFA-associated clinical remission at 1-year (IL13RA2, CD, P < 0.0001; UC, P = 0.0003). IL13RA2 thresholds, 4.554 ng/mL (CD) and 6.117 ng/mL (UC) separated those with and without clinical remission at 1-year (CD, area under the receiver-operating characteristic curve = 0.80, 95% CI = 0.71-0.90, P < 0.0001; UC, area under the receiver-operating characteristic curve = 0.79, 95% CI = 0.66-0.91, P = 0.0005). In CD, combining IL13RA2 and OSM concentrations enhanced prediction accuracy compared with either biomarker alone and increased the identification of other important clinical outcomes. DISCUSSION: IL13RA2, but not TREM-1, was associated with TNFA response. In CD, its prediction accuracy improves when combined with OSM.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame distilled prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.
Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one teacher head, not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".