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Record W7125618246 · doi:10.18280/jesa.581215

Customer Potential Index for Production Program Optimization in Manufacturing SMEs

2025· article· W7125618246 on OpenAlexvenueno aff
Maxim Kocharov, Ilya Melikov, Nikita Karpov, Dmitriy Krasovskiy

Bibliographic record

VenueJournal Européen des Systèmes Automatisés · 2025
Typearticle
Language
FieldBusiness, Management and Accounting
TopicQuality and Supply Management
Canadian institutionsnot available
FundersMinistry of Science and Higher Education of the Russian Federation
KeywordsProduction (economics)Index (typography)Production lineManufacturingProductivity

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

This study proposes a methodology to maximize income using a novel Customer Potential Index (CPI) to optimize production programs in small and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs) engaged in customized manufacturing.The research addresses the gap in existing systems that fail to integrate long-term customer value into production planning.Using regression analysis of accounting reports from 33 clients, we developed a CPI model to predict repeat order likelihood.This index was integrated into a mixed-integer linear programming framework that jointly maximizes current marginal profit, projected CPIbased revenue growth, and minimizes opportunity costs from order postponement.In a real-world case with 11 competing orders, the CPI-based optimization identified a highpotential client with a predicted CPI for a higher-margin but low-potential order, resulting in a better strategic allocation of constrained resources.The model was tested using the root mean square error (RMSE) and mean absolute percentage error (MAPE) metrics and was well represented.The novelty of this research lies in bridging customer analytics and production scheduling without proprietary customer relationship management data and using artificial intelligence (AI), while making advanced planning accessible to resourceconstrained SMEs.

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

How this classification was reachedexpand

Full frame machine prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.001
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.003
Version: metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061cValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesnone
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Simulation or modeling · Consensus signal: Simulation or modeling
GenreCandidate signal: Empirical · Consensus signal: none
Teacher disagreement score0.003
Threshold uncertainty score0.008

Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0010.003
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0010.000
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0010.001
Bibliometrics0.0010.001
Science and technology studies0.0000.000
Scholarly communication0.0010.001
Open science0.0010.001
Research integrity0.0010.001
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0010.000

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.017
GPT teacher head0.266
Teacher spread0.249 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it

Classification

machine, unvalidated

Machine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.

The models applied no category: nothing in the taxonomy fit this work.
Study designSimulation or modeling
Domainnot available
GenreEmpirical

How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".

Quick stats

Citations0
Published2025
Admission routes1
Has abstractyes

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