Vergleich der Variabilität im Nordatlantik in Klimasimulationen mit und ohne Flusskorrektur
Why this work is in the frame
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Bibliographic record
Abstract
Many climate models exhibit biases in the North Atlantic, especially a too cold sea surface temperature (SST) and a false track and strength of the ocean circulations compared to observed data. For the Kiel Climate Model (KCM), Park et al. (2016) have shown that those biases can be reduced by the implementation of a freshwater flux correction. The freshwater flux correction leads to a fortification of the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC), most notably in its decadal and multi-decadal variability. Moreover, it strengthens the interaction between the North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO), which has decisive impact on the internal variability of the North Atlantic climate, and the AMOC. In other studies, the impact of the atmosphere and the ocean on each other in relation to the NAO has primarily been shown for the sub-decadal variability of the NAO. Therefore, in this thesis the two model experiments with and without freshwater flux correction compared by Park et al. (2016) are analysed with regard to the impact of the freshwater flux correction in KCM on the subdecadal NAO variability. To this end, the spectrums of the NAO in both experiments are analysed and lag-regressions of multiple parameters are performed on the reconstructions of the dominant NAO modes, identified by a Singular Spectrum Analysis (SSA). The freshwater flux correction induces a fortification of the interaction between the ocean and the sub-decadal NAO variability. This occurs on higher frequencies with periods of 5 years instead of 8 years in the uncorrected experiment. Especially the movement of the sub polar deep convection site from the south end of Greenland in to the Labrador Sea that has been shown by Park et al. (2016) seems to have a substantial impact on these findings, e.g. the movement of the heat flux anomalies in the same region. However, this connection could not be proven definitely with the parameters analysed and the methods used in this thesis. Thus, it is necessary to conduct further investigations using additional parameters, such as mixed layer depth and wind stress, and extending the analysis methods to the subdecadal variability of the NAO.
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Full frame distilled prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.
Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.014 | 0.010 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.003 | 0.003 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.004 | 0.001 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.007 | 0.007 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.002 | 0.003 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.002 | 0.001 |
| Open science | 0.005 | 0.003 |
| Research integrity | 0.004 | 0.005 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.057 | 0.131 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it