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Global prevalence of early menopause and its association with cardiovascular outcomes: the PURE study

2025· article· en· W7128030118 on OpenAlexaff
Simone Marschner, Desi Quintans, Shaheen Yusuf, C K Chow

Bibliographic record

VenueEuropean Heart Journal · 2025
Typearticle
Languageen
FieldMedicine
TopicMenopause: Health Impacts and Treatments
Canadian institutionsPopulation Health Research Institute
Fundersnot available
KeywordsMenopauseHazard ratioProportional hazards modelCohortCohort studyDiseaseEpidemiology

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

Abstract Background Female-specific risk factors for cardiovascular disease (CVD) are emerging as important indictors to flag high-risk women and one of those factors is early onset menopause. There is emerging evidence that women with premature menopause and early menopause have a substantially increased risk of CVD. Purpose The PURE study provides a unique opportunity to use the same cohort selection and same menopause identifying questions to assess the association of CVD outcomes and menopause age across socio-economic and geographical regions. Methods Women in the PURE study from 27 high, middle, and low-income countries were asked: "Do you still have periods?" and "How many years since you stopped menstruating?". Categories of menopause were "not yet reached menopause", premature menopause (<40years), early menopause (40≤age<45years) and common menopause (age≥45years). Multi-level Cox proportional hazards models of time to cardiovascular event were used, adjusting for age and INTERHEART Risk Score as fixed effects, and accounting for nested clustering at country and community levels with random effects. Results The cohort of 113,315 women from 26 countries had mean age of 51.0 years with 43.2% from rural areas and average follow-up time of 12.3 years. Women from the lower socio-economic regions reached menopause significantly earlier. By the ages of 47.5, 50.1, 50.2 and 50.5 years, 50% of women in the lower, lower-middle, upper-middle and upper-class socio-economic region, respectively, had reached menopause. Half of the African region participants reached menopause by age 48.3 years and in Europe this occurred at age 50.9 years. The hazard ratio (HR) for all-cause death for women with premature menopause, early menopause and common menopause was 1.3 (95% CI: 1.2,1.5), 1.3 (CI: 1.2,1.4) and 1.1 (CI: 1.0,1.2), respectively, compared to no menopause. Similarly, for fatal CVD the HRs were 1.5 (CI: 1.3,1.8), 1.4 (CI: 1.2,1.6), 1.2 (CI: 1.0,1.4), respectively, and for severe CVD the HRs were 1.4 (CI: 1.2, 1.6), 1.3 (CI: 1.2, 1.4), 1.1 (CI: 1.0, 1.2) for women with premature menopause, early menopause and common menopause, respectively, compared to no menopause. For all cause death the association with menopause age varied by socio-economic status (p<0.001) with the strongest association occurring within lower socio-economic countries with HR of 6.5 (CI:3.5, 12.1) for premature menopause, 6.6 (CI: 3.5,12.3) for early menopause, 5.7 (CI: 3.0, 10.5) for common menopause and for no menopause 4.8 (CI: 2.6, 8.9) compared to high income countries. Conclusion Early menopause was found to be more common in lower socio-economic countries and differed by region with African women having the earliest menopause age. This study provided further evidence of the association of death and CVD with premature and early menopause especially in lower socio-economic regions.

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

How this classification was reachedexpand

Full frame machine prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.001
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.003
Version: metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061cValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesnone
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Observational · Consensus signal: Observational
GenreCandidate signal: Empirical · Consensus signal: Empirical
Teacher disagreement score0.012
Threshold uncertainty score0.024

Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0010.003
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0000.000
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0010.001
Bibliometrics0.0010.003
Science and technology studies0.0000.000
Scholarly communication0.0010.001
Open science0.0010.002
Research integrity0.0000.000
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0010.000

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.036
GPT teacher head0.331
Teacher spread0.295 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it

Classification

machine, unvalidated

Machine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.

The models applied no category: nothing in the taxonomy fit this work.
Study designObservational
Domainnot available
GenreEmpirical

How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".

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Citations0
Published2025
Admission routes1
Has abstractyes

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