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Record W7133023834

Psychology, Emotions, and Richard Nixon’s withdrawal from the Vietnam War, 1969-1973

2020· dissertation· W7133023834 on OpenAlexfundno aff
Matthieu Vallières

Bibliographic record

VenueTSpace · 2020
Typedissertation
Language
FieldArts and Humanities
TopicHistory of Emotions Research
Canadian institutionsnot available
FundersUniversity of TorontoGerald R. Ford Presidential Library and MuseumGovernment of Ontario
KeywordsAbandonment (legal)Foreign policyAppeasementDoctrinePerceptionVietnam WarWorld War IIInternational relations
DOInot available

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

This dissertation explores the emotional impulses and psychological dynamics that influenced president Richard Nixon’s decision-making in the Vietnam War from 1969 to 1973, shedding light on how these factors shaped what is often considered a quintessentially “realist” moment in the history of U.S. foreign relations. Combining archival research with an emerging “emotional turn” in foreign policy analysis and international relations history, this project shows that Nixon’s protracted withdrawal from Vietnam can be more fully understood by taking emotions and psychology more fully into account. It argues that his policies reflected a fixation with the psychology of others, especially those of fretful or dependent allies, weary adversaries supposedly close to their breaking point, and “emotional” Americans contemplating a precipitous withdrawal; his policies also reflected, however, under-appreciation for the psychological and emotional imperatives influencing his own perceptions and decisions. This dissertation analyzes the impact of decidedly “uncool” emotions and psychology on Nixon’s and national security advisor Henry Kissinger’s major decisions in Vietnam: the secret bombing of Cambodia and the enunciation of the Nixon Doctrine in 1969; the invasion of Cambodia in 1970; the invasion of Laos in 1971; and the Linebacker campaigns and the fitful abandonment of South Vietnam of 1972. Although the influence of emotions and psychology is assessed in wide-ranging ways, this project makes three important contributions to the existing literature on Nixon’s Vietnam War: Nixon and Kissinger formed an “emotional community” that prevented them from accepting anything less than what they perceived as “Peace with Honor”; a series of heuristics, loss aversion being chief among them, framed Nixon and Kissinger’s perception that Vietnam had the potential of unmaking the American Century, a perception that allowed them to rationalize several risky escalations; Nixon and Kissinger’s policies both were predicated on “emotional management” and faltered due to a lack thereof. Ultimately, this project not only disrupts the traditional narrative of Nixon and Kissinger as “realist” exemplars in U.S. foreign policy, but it also adds layers of complexity to established narratives about the influence of Realpolitik on U.S. foreign relations in general and therefore deepens our understanding of U.S. foreign policy overall.

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

How this classification was reachedexpand

Full frame machine prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.001
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.002
Version: metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061cValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesnone
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Qualitative · Consensus signal: Qualitative
GenreCandidate signal: Empirical · Consensus signal: Empirical
Teacher disagreement score0.050
Threshold uncertainty score0.100

Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0010.002
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0000.000
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0000.000
Bibliometrics0.0000.000
Science and technology studies0.0080.008
Scholarly communication0.0030.001
Open science0.0000.002
Research integrity0.0010.003
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0020.000

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.052
GPT teacher head0.353
Teacher spread0.301 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it

Classification

machine, unvalidated

Machine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.

The models applied no category: nothing in the taxonomy fit this work.
Study designQualitative
Domainnot available
GenreEmpirical

How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".

Quick stats

Citations0
Published2020
Admission routes1
Has abstractyes

Explore more

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