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Record W7133040485

Dynamical Sculpting of Compact, Multi-planet Systems

2023· dissertation· W7133040485 on OpenAlexfundno aff
Alysa Obertas

Bibliographic record

VenueTSpace · 2023
Typedissertation
Language
FieldPhysics and Astronomy
TopicStellar, planetary, and galactic studies
Canadian institutionsnot available
FundersNatural Sciences and Engineering Research Council of CanadaNational Aeronautics and Space Administration
KeywordsExoplanetPlanetDynamical systems theoryKeplerPlanetary systemInstabilitySolar System
DOInot available

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

The Kepler mission discovered thousands of exoplanets and completely revolutionised planetary astronomy. Over one thousand of these exoplanets are in multi-planet systems with architectures remarkably different from that of our Solar System: compact, multi-planet systems. Many hypotheses about their evolution involve dynamical sculpting --- gravitational planet-planet interactions accumulating over billions of orbits. This can drastically alter their orbits, consequently sculpting multi-planet systems into the architectures of the observed, mature Kepler systems. In this dissertation, I explore dynamical sculpting through two different projects. First, I examine how the dynamical spacing between orbits affects the system's instability timescale. Probing a high-density distribution in dynamical spacing, I saw additional structure on top of the instability-spacing relationship which corresponded to period commensurabilities. Consequently, I hypothesise that interacting mean motion resonances of multiple pairs of planets are responsible for the dynamics of such systems, and ultimately driving the instability. Second, I re-visit the dynamical packing of the Kepler multi-planet systems. Using a machine learning method to examine the stability of over 9 million different orbital configurations, I found that most systems are strongly packed. Furthermore, dynamical packing increases with a system's observed planet multiplicity, which is consistent with dynamical sculpting throughout system evolution or with lower multiplicity systems having a higher likelihood of unseen planets. These projects advance the field's knowledge of the dynamics of compact, multi-planet systems and the role of dynamical sculpting throughout their evolution. My first project provided a foundation to further understand the dynamics and instability which are responsible for dynamical sculpting. My second project quantified a dynamical property of mature, observed systems, finding that it may be consistent with such systems being dynamically sculpted. The road ahead for research in this field is promising --- current and upcoming surveys will expand the catalogue of observed multi-planet systems and machine learning methods will continue to improve our theoretical understanding of planetary dynamics.

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

How this classification was reachedexpand

Full frame machine prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.000
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.002
Version: metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061cValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesnone
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Simulation or modeling · Consensus signal: none
GenreCandidate signal: Empirical · Consensus signal: Empirical
Teacher disagreement score0.001
Threshold uncertainty score0.004

Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0000.002
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0000.000
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0000.000
Bibliometrics0.0010.000
Science and technology studies0.0010.001
Scholarly communication0.0010.001
Open science0.0000.001
Research integrity0.0000.000
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0010.000

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.030
GPT teacher head0.317
Teacher spread0.287 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it

Classification

machine, unvalidated

Machine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.

The models applied no category: nothing in the taxonomy fit this work.
Study designSimulation or modeling
Domainnot available
GenreEmpirical

How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".

Quick stats

Citations0
Published2023
Admission routes1
Has abstractyes

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