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Austrian business cycle theory : agent-based-model illustration and empirical application

2018· dissertation· W7148245709 on OpenAlexaboutno aff
Daniil Gorbatenko

Bibliographic record

Venuenot available
Typedissertation
Language
FieldEconomics, Econometrics and Finance
TopicComplex Systems and Time Series Analysis
Canadian institutionsnot available
Fundersnot available
KeywordsBusiness cycleOrder (exchange)Production (economics)Quarter (Canadian coin)

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

La théorie autrichienne du cycle économique : illustration avec un système multi-agents et l'application empirique Cette recherche vise à reformuler la théorie autrichienne du cycle économique. L’idée centrale est que les banques centrales peuvent faciliter la création des crédits qui ne sont pas basés sur les épargnes des consommateurs et que cela peut permettre aux banques et les inciter de finances certains projets de la longue durée qui elles n’ont pas trouvés attirants à financer dans le passé. Ces projets peuvent dérouter certaines ressources de la production de certains biens de consommation même si les préférences des consommateurs pertinents n’ont pas changé. Ces derniers peuvent renverser la mauvaise allocation des ressources ou obliger les initiateurs des projets respectifs de payer plus pour les ressources pertinentes. Cela va soit amener à l’échec des projets mentionnés ou obliger les initiateurs de réduire leurs dépenses sur d’autres activités, ainsi que déclencher d’autres effets négatifs pour l’économie. En plus, la recherche illustre la logique centrale de la théorie à travers un modèle informatique et analyse les preuves empiriques de l’applicabilité de la théorie à la Grande Récession de 2008-09.

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

How this classification was reachedexpand

Full frame distilled prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.001
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.000
Version: codex-gemma-dda1882f352aValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesMeta-epidemiology (narrow), Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Simulation or modeling · Consensus signal: none
GenreCandidate signal: Empirical · Consensus signal: none
Teacher disagreement score0.874
Threshold uncertainty score0.999

Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0010.000
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0010.001
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0010.000
Bibliometrics0.0010.001
Science and technology studies0.0010.000
Scholarly communication0.0010.000
Open science0.0000.000
Research integrity0.0010.000
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0030.001

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.041
GPT teacher head0.266
Teacher spread0.225 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it

Classification

machine, unvalidated

Machine predicted; a candidate call from one teacher head, not a consensus.

Study designSimulation or modeling
Domainnot available
GenreEmpirical

How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".

Quick stats

Citations0
Published2018
Admission routes1
Has abstractyes

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