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Record W7161853630 · doi:10.82308/43192

A weighted casebase framework for predicting risk in survival data

2023· dissertation· en· W7161853630 on OpenAlexaboutno aff
Karina Kwan

Bibliographic record

Venuenot available
Typedissertation
Languageen
FieldMathematics
TopicStatistical Methods and Inference
Canadian institutionsnot available
Fundersnot available
KeywordsCovariateProportional hazards modelParametric statisticsSampling (signal processing)Logistic regressionHazardRegressionFunction (biology)

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

Case-cohort studies are attractive for studying rare diseases where obtaining additional expensive or hard-to-access data, such as genomic sequencing, from a subset of participants is infeasible for the entire study cohort. In analyzing such studies, individual data points must be appropriately weighted to account for the biased case/control sampling. The Cox proportional hazards model is a popular semi-parametric method for analyzing survival data that provides step function risk estimates. A parametric alternative is the casebase framework, which uses finite sampling of person-moments together with logistic regression to estimate fully parametric hazard functions and smooth-in-time absolute risk functions. Unlike the Cox model, where well-tested methods exist to adjust for complex sampling designs, the casebase framework-based methods have not yet implemented weighted methods. This thesis proposes a weighted casebase framework that provides unbiased coefficient estimates and robust standard error estimates. A simulation study compares the performance of weighted Cox and casebase models. The proposed weighted analytic framework is then applied to model how cell-free DNA methylation (data obtained with the cfMeDIP-seq technology) affects risk of breast cancer in a (case-cohort) subset of individuals in the Ontario Health Study (OHS). The weighted framework performs similarly to weighted Cox models, and both are sensitive to covariate distributions and the size of the sampling fraction

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

How this classification was reachedexpand

Full frame machine prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.040
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.103
Version: metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061cValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesnone
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Simulation or modeling · Consensus signal: none
GenreCandidate signal: Methods · Consensus signal: Methods
Teacher disagreement score0.040
Threshold uncertainty score0.210

Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0400.103
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0020.001
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0020.003
Bibliometrics0.0050.005
Science and technology studies0.0010.001
Scholarly communication0.0030.005
Open science0.0050.003
Research integrity0.0020.004
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0070.002

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.206
GPT teacher head0.471
Teacher spread0.265 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it

Classification

machine, unvalidated

Machine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.

The models applied no category: nothing in the taxonomy fit this work.
Study designSimulation or modeling
Domainnot available
GenreMethods

How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".

Quick stats

Citations0
Published2023
Admission routes1
Has abstractyes

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Same topicStatistical Methods and InferenceFrench-language works237,207