Mapping Knowledge Domains to Better Forecast the Future: Challenges at the National Research Council Canada
Bibliographic record
Abstract
The cross-disciplinary future of knowledge domainsmapping requires the fusion of multiple data sources,methodologies, and theories, shifting from descriptiveto predictive models. This paper explores some of theNational Research Council Canada challenges inusing knowledge domain mapping to better forecastthe future and advances a call for action.L’avenir interdisciplinaire de la cartographie desdomaines de connaissances nécessite la fusion demultiples sources de données, méthodes et théories,et le passage de modèles descriptifs à des modèlesprédictifs. Cette présentation explore certains desdéfis que rencontre le Conseil national de recherchesdu Canada dans l’utilisation de la cartographie desdomaines de connaissances pour mieux prévoirl’avenir, et propose un appel à l’action.
Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.
How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame machine prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.
Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.067 | 0.108 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.009 | 0.017 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.009 | 0.008 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.024 | 0.019 |
| Open science | 0.005 | 0.011 |
| Research integrity | 0.003 | 0.006 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.006 | 0.001 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".