Prognostic Factors for Multiple Sclerosis Symptoms in Radiologically Isolated Syndrome
Notice bibliographique
Résumé
Importance: Understanding the risk factors for symptom development will allow clinicians to stratify people with radiologically isolated syndrome (pwRIS) more effectively and tailor their management strategies accordingly. Objective: To identify prognostic factors at radiologically isolated syndrome (RIS) diagnosis associated with the development of multiple sclerosis (MS) symptoms. Design, Setting, and Participants: This cohort study was performed in samples collected between July 2004 and September 2022 and included 33 MS centers. All pwRIS who meet the 2017 McDonald criteria for dissemination in space with a sample collected near the diagnostic magnetic resonance imaging were included. No patients who met eligibility criteria were excluded. The data were analyzed from July 2024 to November 2024. Exposure: Body fluid biomarkers and environmental factors in pwRIS. Main outcomes and measures: The main outcome was the development of MS symptoms. Analyses involved univariable and multivariable Cox proportional hazards models, including age, sex, and treatment following RIS diagnosis, as additional independent variables. Results: The study included 273 pwRIS (mean age, 38.6 [SD 11.6] years; 207 women [75.8%] and 66 men [24.2%]) with a median follow-up of 5.0 [IQR, 2.5-7.7] years. A total of 101 pwRIS developed MS symptoms (37.0%). The presence of immunoglobulin G oligoclonal bands (OBs) (hazard ratio [HR], 5.09; 95% CI, 2.36-10.97; P < .001), immunoglobulin M OBs (HR, 2.58; 95% CI, 1.61-4.14; P < .001), and a κ free light chain index of 6.1 or more (HR, 2.79; 95% CI, 1.37-5.67; P = .005) were associated with MS symptoms. High cerebrospinal fluid neurofilament light chain (NfL) levels (HR, 1.31; 95% CI, 1.18-1.45; P < .001) and high serum NfL z scores (HR, 1.42; 95% CI, 1.16-1.72; P = .005) were also associated with an increased risk of MS symptoms. In contrast, high anti-cytomegalovirus titers (HR, 0.59; 95% CI, 0.38-0.93; P = .02) and high ultraviolet radiation exposure in the year before (HR, 0.52; 95% CI, 0.37-0.74; P < .001) and the year after (HR, 0.54, 95% CI, 0.38-0.75; P < .001) diagnosis reduced the risk of MS symptoms. For all these prognostic factors, the multivariable analysis yielded similar results. The combination of high serum NfL z scores and positive immunoglobulin G OBs conferred a 5-year risk of clinical symptoms of 58.3% (95% CI, 45.9-67.9). This risk increased to 81.6% (95% CI, 60.9-91.4) in pwRIS who were younger and positive for immunoglobulin M OBs. Conclusions and Relevance: The study elucidates the prognostic factors that significantly impact the risk of developing MS symptoms in pwRIS at diagnosis, thereby, enhancing the potential for tailored clinical interventions.
Récupéré en direct depuis OpenAlex et désinversé. Les résumés ne sont pas conservés dans cette base de données : les index inversés représentent 8,6 Go des 9,3 Go de texte de la base, et le serveur dispose de 13 Go libres.
Comment cette classification a été obtenuedéplier
Prédiction distillée sur la base complète
Imitation des enseignantsNi prévalence calibrée, ni vérité terrain. Validation humaine à venir. Apprise à partir de 10 348 étiquettes directes de Codex et de 10 348 étiquettes directes de Gemma. Le mode candidate est l'union des têtes enseignantes seuillées; le consensus est leur intersection. Ces sorties portent le statut machine_predicted_unvalidated et ne sont ni des étiquettes humaines ni des étiquettes directes de modèles de pointe.
Scores Codex et Gemma par catégorie
| Catégorie | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Métarecherche | 0,000 | 0,008 |
| Méta-épidémiologie (sens strict) | 0,000 | 0,000 |
| Méta-épidémiologie (sens large) | 0,001 | 0,000 |
| Bibliométrie | 0,000 | 0,001 |
| Études des sciences et des technologies | 0,000 | 0,000 |
| Communication savante | 0,000 | 0,000 |
| Science ouverte | 0,000 | 0,000 |
| Intégrité de la recherche | 0,000 | 0,001 |
| Charge utile insuffisante (le modèle a refusé de juger) | 0,000 | 0,000 |
Scores machine (provisoires)
Les deux têtes enseignantes du modèle étudiant, lues sur ce travail. Un score ordonne la base pour la relecture; il n'affirme jamais une catégorie, et le statut de validation accompagne chaque rangée tel quel.
Scores de référence d'un modèle non mature (critères de maturité non atteints, 7 itérations). Un score ordonne; il n'affirme jamais une catégorie.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · tel quel depuis la passe de notation : score_only signifie que le nombre peut ordonner les travaux, et qu'aucune étiquette de catégorie n'en découleClassification
machine, non validéePrédiction automatique; un appel candidat d’une seule tête enseignante, pas un consensus.
Le détail, modèle par modèle et score par score, se trouve en fin de page sous « Comment cette classification a été obtenue ».