Evolution of Transmitted HIV-1 with Drug-Resistance Mutations in the Absence of Therapy: Effects on Cd4 <sup>+</sup> T-Cell Count and HIV-1 Rna Load
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Bibliographic record
Abstract
Sequence analysis of HIV-1 from 440 therapy-naive individuals included within the CASCADE study, who seroconverted within 18 months of the last negative test, identified 65 persons infected with a strain carrying resistance-associated mutations. Population-based sequencing was performed for 20 of these individuals during the therapy-free follow-up period. The median time of follow-up was 15 months (interquartile range from 10 to 23 months). Of these individuals, 12 showed subsequent evolution at the resistance positions, whereas the virus of 8 people was stable during this period. In the reverse transcriptase (RT) gene, the drug-resistant 215Y or 215F codons evolved to alternative codons in all six cases, 70R reverted to the wild-type 70K in 3 of the 4 individuals, 67N evolved only in 1 of 4 patients to a wild-type 67D, 215S evolved to wild-type 215T in 1 of 3 patients, 219N evolved to 219K in 1 of 2 patients, and one patient with 184V reversed to the wild-type 184M. The 181C variant evolved to the wild-type 181Y in 1 of 2 individuals. These codon changes were caused by single nucleotide mutations. No evolution was observed for other RT mutations: 41L, 69D, 69N, 190S, 210W, 215L, 215C, 215E and 219Q. In the protease gene, resistance mutations 84V and 90M were stable in 2 individuals. Comparing the CD4+ T-cell count of the 12 evolving versus the 8 stable cases revealed no statistically significant difference at the date of the first sequence following seroconversion. Interestingly, a lower CD4+ T-cell count was observed in the group without evolution at the second sequence time point (P = 0.043). No difference in HIV-1 RNA load was observed. These results, together with the apparent pressure to mutate at the resistance-associated positions exemplify the decreased fitness of viruses carrying 21 5Y/F, 70R or 184V.
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Full frame distilled prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.
Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it