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Record W2739029225 · doi:10.17615/qfnm-rd76

Redefine statistical significance

2025· article· en· W2739029225 on OpenAlex

Why this work is in the frame

A frame that forgets how it found something cannot be audited. These are the routes that admitted this work.

fundA Canadian funder is recorded on the work.
no affNo Canadian affiliation: this work is invisible to an affiliation-only frame.
No Canadian affiliation. An affiliation-only frame, the usual design, would never have seen this work. It is one of the works that make the case for inverting the frame.

Bibliographic record

VenueArtefactual Field Experiments · 2025
Typearticle
Languageen
FieldDecision Sciences
TopicScientific Computing and Data Management
Canadian institutionsnot available
FundersRoyal Holloway, University of LondonWeinberg College of Arts and Sciences, Northwestern UniversityUniversity of California, IrvineUniversity of California, Los AngelesUniversität InnsbruckUniversität ZürichUniversität RegensburgUniversiteit UtrechtWharton School, University of PennsylvaniaUniversiteit van AmsterdamUniversity of New South WalesGöteborgs UniversitetOhio State UniversityNational University of SingaporeUniversity of BristolColumbia UniversityUniversity of EdinburghMedical Research CouncilUniversity of SussexNorthwestern UniversityYork UniversityDartmouth CollegeCardiff UniversityUniversity of Notre DameUniversity of PittsburghPrinceton UniversityUniversity of WashingtonJohns Hopkins UniversityDirectorate for Biological SciencesImperial College LondonArizona State UniversityHarvard UniversityUniversità degli Studi di MilanoUniversity of PennsylvaniaUniversity of Southern CaliforniaSchool of Human Evolution and Social Change, Arizona State UniversityCalifornia Institute of Technology
KeywordsStatistical significanceValue (mathematics)StatisticsMathematics

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex
No abstract in any covered source. Its absence is recorded, not treated as a negative.

No abstract. This is not a gap in this database; OpenAlex has none either. 23.3% of the frame is in this state, and the screen finds HALF as much metaresearch here, so the absence is a measured bias rather than a missing field.

Full frame distilled prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.001
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.002
Version: codex-gemma-dda1882f352aValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesInsufficient payload (model declined to judge)
Consensus categoriesInsufficient payload (model declined to judge)
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Not applicable · Consensus signal: Not applicable
GenreCandidate signal: Empirical · Consensus signal: none
Teacher disagreement score0.816
Threshold uncertainty score1.000

Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0010.002
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0000.000
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0000.000
Bibliometrics0.0000.000
Science and technology studies0.0000.000
Scholarly communication0.0000.000
Open science0.0010.000
Research integrity0.0000.000
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0030.001

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.114
GPT teacher head0.445
Teacher spread0.331 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it