A Cautionary Note on the Effects of Population Stratification Under an Extreme Phenotype Sampling Design
Bibliographic record
Abstract
Extreme phenotype sampling (EPS) is a popular study design used to reduce genotyping or sequencing costs. Assuming continuous phenotype data are available on a large cohort, EPS involves genotyping or sequencing only those individuals with extreme phenotypic values. Although this design has been shown to have high power to detect genetic effects even at smaller sample sizes, little attention has been paid to the effects of confounding variables, and in particular population stratification. Using extensive simulations, we demonstrate that the false positive rate under the EPS design is greatly inflated relative to a random sample of equal size or a "case-control"-like design where the cases are from one phenotypic extreme and the controls randomly sampled. The inflated false positive rate is observed even with allele frequency and phenotype mean differences taken from European population data. We show that the effects of confounding are not reduced by increasing the sample size. We also show that including the top principal components in a logistic regression model is sufficient for controlling the type 1 error rate using data simulated with a population genetics model and using 1,000 Genomes genotype data. Our results suggest that when an EPS study is conducted, it is crucial to adjust for all confounding variables. For genetic association studies this requires genotyping a sufficient number of markers to allow for ancestry estimation. Unfortunately, this could increase the costs of a study if sequencing or genotyping was only planned for candidate genes or pathways; the available genetic data would not be suitable for ancestry correction as many of the variants could have a true association with the trait.
Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.
How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame machine prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.
Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.190 | 0.423 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.002 | 0.001 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.004 | 0.004 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.002 | 0.003 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.003 | 0.013 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.004 | 0.005 |
| Open science | 0.008 | 0.004 |
| Research integrity | 0.007 | 0.029 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.004 | 0.002 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; the direct Gemma label and the distilled Codex classifier agree on what is shown here.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".