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Record W3096222855 · doi:10.1101/2020.10.26.354274

Embrace heterogeneity to improve reproducibility: A perspective from meta-analysis of variation in preclinical research

2020· preprint· en· W3096222855 on OpenAlexaff
Takuji Usui, Malcolm Macleod, Sarah McCann, Alistair M. Senior, Shinichi Nakagawa

Bibliographic record

VenuebioRxiv (Cold Spring Harbor Laboratory) · 2020
Typepreprint
Languageen
FieldVeterinary
TopicAnimal testing and alternatives
Canadian institutionsUniversity of British Columbia
Fundersnot available
KeywordsGeneralizability theoryReproducibilityVariation (astronomy)DiseasePerspective (graphical)Meta-analysisStandardizationPopulationPsychologyMedicineComputer scienceStatisticsPathologyArtificial intelligenceDevelopmental psychologyMathematics

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

Abstract The reproducibility of research results has been a cause of increasing concern to the scientific community. The long-held belief that experimental standardization begets reproducibility has also been recently challenged, with the observation that the reduction of variability within studies can lead to idiosyncratic, lab-specific results that are irreproducible. An alternative approach is to, instead, deliberately introduce heterogeneity; known as “heterogenization” of experimental design. Here, we explore a novel perspective in the heterogenization program in a meta-analysis of variability in observed phenotypic outcomes in both control and experimental animal models of ischaemic stroke. First, by quantifying inter-individual variability across control groups we illustrate that the samount of heterogeneity in disease-state (infarct volume) differs according to methodological approach, for example, in disease-induction methods and disease models. We argue that such methods may improve reproducibility by creating diverse and representative distribution of baseline disease-state in the reference group, against which treatment efficacy is assessed. Second, we illustrate how meta-analysis can be used to simultaneously assess efficacy and stability (i.e., mean effect and among-individual variability). We identify treatments that have efficacy and are generalizable to the population level (i.e. low inter-individual variability), as well as those where there is high inter-individual variability in response; for these latter treatments translation to a clinical setting may require nuance. We argue that by embracing rather than seeking to minimise variability in phenotypic outcomes, we can motivate the shift towards heterogenization and improve both the reproducibility and generalizability of preclinical research.

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

How this classification was reachedexpand

Direct model labels (unvalidated)

Per-model category and study-design labels from the labeling rounds. They are machine output, unvalidated, and the disagreement between models ships as data. No study design here is MEDLINE-validated yet.

Model armCategoriesStudy designConfidence
gemmaMetaresearch
Domain: Reproducibility · Genre: Empirical
About the Canadian research system: no · About a Canadian topic: no
Meta-analysislow
gptMetaresearch
Domain: Reproducibility · Genre: Review
About the Canadian research system: no · About a Canadian topic: no
Meta-analysishigh
models agreeAgreement compares identical category sets and study designs across arms.

Full frame machine prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.366
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.508
Version: metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061cValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesMetaresearch
Consensus categoriesMetaresearch
DomainCandidate signal: Reproducibility · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Theoretical or conceptual · Consensus signal: Theoretical or conceptual
GenreCandidate signal: Methods · Consensus signal: Methods
Teacher disagreement score0.634
Threshold uncertainty score0.782

Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.3660.508
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0030.002
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0100.014
Bibliometrics0.0080.007
Science and technology studies0.0010.009
Scholarly communication0.0090.007
Open science0.0080.007
Research integrity0.0080.011
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0020.000

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.393
GPT teacher head0.457
Teacher spread0.064 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it

Classification

machine, unvalidated

Labeled directly by 2 models reading the full record.

Study designMeta-analysis
DomainReproducibility
GenreEmpirical · Review

How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".

Quick stats

Citations3
Published2020
Admission routes1
Has abstractyes

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