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Reliability of Trial Information Across Registries for Trials With Multiple Registrations

2021· review· en· W3195478505 on OpenAlexaffabout
Benjamin Speich, Viktoria Gloy, Katharina Klatte, Dmitry Gryaznov, Ala Taji Heravi, Nilabh Ghosh, Ioana R. Marian, Hopin Lee, Anita Mansouri, Szimonetta Lohner, Ramon Saccilotto, Edris Nury, An‐Wen Chan, Anette Blümle, Ayodele Odutayo, Sally Hopewell, Matthias Briel, Belinda von Niederhäusern, Benjamin Kasenda, Elena Ojeda–Ruiz, Stefan Schandelmaier, Dominik Mertz, Yuki Tomonaga, Alain Amstutz, Christiane Pauli‐Magnus, Constantin Sluka, Karin Bischoff, Katharina Wollmann, Laura Rehner, Joerg J Meerpohl, Alain Nordmann, Jacqueline Wong, Ngai Chow, Patrick Jiho Hong, Kimberly Mc Cord, Sirintip Sricharoenchai, Jason W. Busse, Arnav Agarwal, Matthias Schwenkglenks, Giusi Moffa, Lars G. Hemkens, Erik von Elm

Bibliographic record

VenueJAMA Network Open · 2021
Typereview
Languageen
FieldDecision Sciences
TopicMeta-analysis and systematic reviews
Canadian institutionsImpactSt. Michael's HospitalMcMaster UniversityWomen's College HospitalUniversity of Toronto
Fundersnot available
KeywordsClinical trialMedicineRandomized controlled trialFamily medicineTrial registrationSample size determinationDrug trialEuropean unionMEDLINEInternal medicine

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

Importance: Clinical trial registries are important for gaining an overview of ongoing research efforts and for deterring and identifying publication bias and selective outcome reporting. The reliability of the information in trial registries is uncertain. Objective: To assess the reliability of information across registries for trials with multiple registrations. Evidence Review: For this systematic review, 360 protocols of randomized clinical trials (RCTs) approved by research ethics committees in Switzerland, the UK, Canada, and Germany in 2012 were evaluated. Clinical trial registries were searched from March to September 2019 for corresponding registrations of these RCTs. For RCTS that were recorded in more than 1 clinical trial registry, key trial characteristics that should be identical among all trial registries (ie, sponsor, funding source, primary outcome, target sample size, trial status, date of first patient enrollment, results available, and main publication indexed) were extracted in duplicate. Agreement between the different trial registries for these key characteristics was analyzed descriptively. Data analyses were conducted from May 1 to November 30, 2020. Representatives from clinical trial registries were interviewed to discuss the study findings between February 1 and March 31, 2021. Findings: The analysis included 197 RCTs registered in more than 1 trial registry (151 in 2 registries and 46 in 3 registries), with 188 trials in ClinicalTrials.gov, 185 in the European Union Drug Regulating Authorities Clinical Trials Database (EudraCT), 20 in ISRCTN, and 47 in other registries. The agreement of key information across all registries was as follows: 178 of 197 RCTs (90%; 95% CI, 85%-94%) for sponsor, 18 of 20 (90%; 95% CI, 68%-99%) for funding source (funding was not reported on ClinicalTrials.gov), 154 of 197 (78%; 95% CI, 72%-84%) for primary outcome, 90 of 197 (46%; 95% CI, 39%-53%) for trial status, 122 of 194 (63%; 95% CI, 56%-70%) for target sample size, and 43 of 57 (75%; 95% CI, 62%-86%) for the date of first patient enrollment when the comparison time was increased to 30 days (date of first patient enrollment was not reported on EudraCT). For results availability in trial registries, agreement was 122 of 197 RCTs (62%; 95% CI, 55%-69%) for summary data reported in the registry and 91 of 197 (46%; 95% CI, 39%-53%) for whether a published article with the main results was indexed. Different legal requirements were stated as the main reason for inconsistencies by representatives of clinical trial registries. Conclusions and Relevance: In this systematic review, for a substantial proportion of registered RCTs, information about key trial characteristics was inconsistent across trial registries, raising concerns about the reliability of the information provided in these registries. Further harmonization across clinical trial registries may be necessary to increase their usefulness.

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

How this classification was reachedexpand

Full frame distilled prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.402
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.359
Version: codex-gemma-dda1882f352aValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesMetaresearch, Meta-epidemiology (narrow), Meta-epidemiology (broad), Scholarly communication, Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)
Consensus categoriesMetaresearch
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Not applicable · Consensus signal: none
GenreCandidate signal: Review · Consensus signal: Review
Teacher disagreement score0.630
Threshold uncertainty score1.000

Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.4020.359
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0010.000
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0250.006
Bibliometrics0.0000.003
Science and technology studies0.0000.000
Scholarly communication0.0070.002
Open science0.0050.001
Research integrity0.0010.000
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0010.000

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.849
GPT teacher head0.615
Teacher spread0.235 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it

Classification

machine, unvalidated

Machine predicted; both teacher heads agree on what is shown here.

Study designNot applicable
Domainnot available
GenreReview

How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".

Quick stats

Citations39
Published2021
Admission routes2
Has abstractyes

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