MétaCan
Menu
Back to cohort
Record W4210305383 · doi:10.3899/jrheum.211115

Post Hoc Power Calculations: An Inappropriate Method for Interpreting the Findings of a Research Study

2022· article· en· W4210305383 on OpenAlexvenueno aff
Michael G. Heckman, John M. Davis, Cynthia S. Crowson

Bibliographic record

VenueThe Journal of Rheumatology · 2022
Typearticle
Languageen
FieldDecision Sciences
TopicMeta-analysis and systematic reviews
Canadian institutionsnot available
Fundersnot available
KeywordsSample size determinationMedicineConfidence intervalType I and type II errorsPost hocStatistical powerOdds ratioPower analysisInterpretation (philosophy)Power (physics)StatisticsSample (material)Hazard ratioPost-hoc analysisIdeal (ethics)Computer scienceMathematicsInternal medicineEpistemology

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

Power calculations are a key study design step in research studies. However, such power analysis is often inappropriately performed in the medical literature by attempting to help interpret the findings of a completed study, instead of attempting to aid in choosing an optimal sample size for a future study. The aim of this article is to provide a brief discussion of the drawbacks of performing these post hoc power calculations, and to correspondingly suggest best practices regarding the use of statistical power and the interpretation of study results. Specifically, power analysis should always be considered before any research study in order to choose an ideal sample size and/or to examine the feasibility of properly evaluating study aims, but it should never be used in order to help interpret the results of an already completed study. Alternatively, 95% confidence intervals for effect sizes (eg, odds ratio, hazard ratio, mean difference) or other relevant parameter estimates should be used when attempting to draw conclusions from results, such as the likelihood of a type II error (ie, a false negative finding).

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

How this classification was reachedexpand

Full frame machine prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.579
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.841
Version: metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061cValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesMetaresearch
Consensus categoriesMetaresearch
DomainCandidate signal: Methods · Consensus signal: Methods
Study designCandidate signal: Theoretical or conceptual · Consensus signal: none
GenreCandidate signal: Methods · Consensus signal: Methods
Teacher disagreement score0.421
Threshold uncertainty score0.519

Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.5790.841
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0040.003
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0070.006
Bibliometrics0.0090.011
Science and technology studies0.0030.013
Scholarly communication0.0110.011
Open science0.0060.007
Research integrity0.0070.019
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0110.004

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.594
GPT teacher head0.589
Teacher spread0.005 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it

Classification

machine, unvalidated

Machine predicted; the direct Gemma label and the distilled Codex classifier agree on what is shown here.

Study designTheoretical or conceptual
DomainMethods
GenreMethods

How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".

Quick stats

Citations120
Published2022
Admission routes1
Has abstractyes

Explore more

Same venueThe Journal of RheumatologySame topicMeta-analysis and systematic reviewsFrench-language works237,207