Open access: Is there a predator at the door?
Bibliographic record
Abstract
Dear Readers, If your inbox looks like ours, you are barraged daily with requests to send research to a new journal or to join a new editorial board. Many of these “invitations” are from new open access journals, not all of which are legitimate. Open access journals play an increasingly important role in today's world of medical publication and provide information which would otherwise be difficult or impossible for some to access. Openly sharing peer-reviewed information at no cost to the reader can greatly enhance distribution of legitimate scientific and clinical data. However, there is also an increasing number of journals purporting to serve this mission but acting in a predatory fashion. Here are a few guidelines. What defines a predatory journal? Moher and Moher recently summed up the characteristics neatly by suggesting that such publications can, perhaps, be characterized by their behavior: aggressive recruitment emails, unrealistic promises regarding publication, and ultimately worthless peer review.1 A number of published articles suggest the lack of an editorial review process as a key characteristic of predatory journal publications. One article described predatory journal publications as “gobbledegook.”2 Massachusetts Institute of Technology (MIT) researchers in 2005 invented software called SCIgen, which randomly combined strings of words to produce fake computer-generated science papers that were ultimately published in open access journals. This exercise was performed to show the low bar for acceptance of papers, which were meaningless, or as they put it, “to maximize amusement”. In 2014, Van Noorden pointed out in Nature News that several publishers were removing more than 120 papers from their subscription services after it was discovered that “the works were computer-generated non-sense”3. More subtle forms of non-gibberish, but also non-peer-reviewed publications, seem to be expanding rapidly. Rather than motivation of the publisher to promote the science and practice of medicine, the impetus is clearly financial. They charge large sums of money to publish articles unable to pass a rigorous editorial or peer review process, which can be quite lucrative. Likewise, authors who may have been rejected by legitimate peer-reviewed journals may find that some open access journals offer an avenue for publication without editorial oversight. Therefore, we suggest the following guidelines when evaluating whether a journal is predatory. We recommend an excellent recent editorial by Roberts, which shares our opinion entitled “Predatory Journals: Think before you submit”4 Our goal is to provide high-quality, rigorously peer-reviewed papers and scientific information of value to you and all of our readers. Rakesh Chandra, MD Co-Editor-in-Chief, American Journal of Rhinology & Allergy Edward W. Fisher, MA, DM (Oxon), FRCS Senior Editor, Journal of Laryngology and Otology Terry M. Jones, BSc(Hons), MBBS, FRCSEd, FRCS(ORL-HNS), MD Editor-in-Chief, Clinical Otolaryngology David W. Kennedy, MD Editor-in-Chief, International Forum of Allergy & Rhinology Dennis H. Kraus, MD, FACS Co-Editor-in-Chief, Journal of Neurological Surgery -part B John H. Krouse, MD, PhD, MBA Editor-in-Chief, Otolaryngology—Head and Neck Surgery Editor-in-Chief, OTO-Open Michael Link, MD Co-Editor-in-Chief, Journal of Neurological Surgery -part B Lawrence R. Lustig, MD Editor-in-Chief, Otology & Neurotology Bert W. O'Malley, Jr., MD Editor-in-Chief, Journal for Oto-Rhino-Laryngology, Head and Neck Surgery Jay F. Piccirillo, MD, FACS Editor-in-Chief, JAMA Otolaryngology—Head & Neck Surgery Robert Ruben, MD, FAAP, FACS Editor-in-Chief, International Journal of Pediatric Otorhinolaryngology Robert T. Sataloff, MD, DMA, FACS Editor-in-Chief, Journal of Voice; Editor-in-Chief, Ear, Nose and Throat Journal Raj Sindwani, MD Co-Editor-in-Chief, American Journal of Rhinology & Allergy Richard J. Smith, MD Editor-in-Chief, Annals of Otology, Rhinology & Laryngology Michael G. Stewart, MD, MPH, FACS Editor-in-Chief, The Laryngoscope Peter C. Weber, MD Editor-in-Chief, American Journal of Otolaryngology D. Bradley Welling, M.D., Ph.D., FACS Editor-in-Chief, Laryngoscope Investigative Otolaryngology Robin Youngs, MBBS MD FRCS Senior Editor, Journal of Laryngology and Otology
Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.
How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame distilled prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.
Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.015 | 0.068 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.003 | 0.001 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.001 | 0.003 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.002 | 0.006 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.017 | 0.010 |
| Open science | 0.066 | 0.053 |
| Research integrity | 0.004 | 0.005 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.019 | 0.011 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; both teacher heads agree on what is shown here.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".