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GRADE guidance 35: update on rating imprecision for assessing contextualized certainty of evidence and making decisions

2022· article· en· W4289938702 on OpenAlexaff
Holger J. Schünemann, Ignacio Neumann, Monica Hultcrantz, Romina Brignardello‐Petersen, Linan Zeng, M. Hassan Murad, Ariel Izcovich, Gian Paolo Morgano, Tejan Baldeh, Nancy Santesso, Carlos Garcia Cuello, Lawrence Mbuagbaw, Gordon Guyatt, Wojtek Wiercioch, Thomas Piggott, Hans de Beer, Marco Vinceti, Alexander G. Mathioudakis, Martin Mayer, Reem A. Mustafa, Tommaso Filippini, Alfonso Iorio, Robby Nieuwlaat, Maura Marcucci, Pablo Alonso Coello, Stefanos Bonovas, Daniele Piovani, George Tomlinson, Elie A. Akl

Bibliographic record

VenueJournal of Clinical Epidemiology · 2022
Typearticle
Languageen
FieldDecision Sciences
TopicMeta-analysis and systematic reviews
Canadian institutionsToronto Rehabilitation InstituteUniversity Health NetworkUniversity of TorontoMcMaster UniversityImpactCochrane
FundersManchester Biomedical Research CentreNational Institute for Health and Care Research
KeywordsOperationalizationCertaintyComputer sciencePsychologyActuarial scienceManagement scienceApplied psychologyEngineeringMathematicsBusiness

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex
No abstract in any covered source. Its absence is recorded, not treated as a negative.

No abstract. This is not a gap in this database; OpenAlex has none either. 23.3% of the frame is in this state, and the screen finds HALF as much metaresearch here, so the absence is a measured bias rather than a missing field.

How this classification was reachedexpand

Full frame machine prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.175
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.584
Version: metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061cValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesMetaresearch
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: Methods · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Not applicable · Consensus signal: Not applicable
GenreCandidate signal: Methods · Consensus signal: none
Teacher disagreement score0.825
Threshold uncertainty score0.927

Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.1750.584
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0060.006
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0160.035
Bibliometrics0.0230.017
Science and technology studies0.0030.005
Scholarly communication0.0120.006
Open science0.0200.010
Research integrity0.0160.018
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0160.008

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.974
GPT teacher head0.744
Teacher spread0.230 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it

Classification

machine, unvalidated

Machine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.

Study designNot applicable
DomainMethods
GenreMethods

How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".

Quick stats

Citations153
Published2022
Admission routes1
Has abstractno

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