MétaCan
Menu
Back to cohort
Record W4293859671 · doi:10.31234/osf.io/9s3y6

Justify Your Alpha

2017· preprint· en· W4293859671 on OpenAlexaff
Daniël Lakens, Federico Adolfi, Casper J. Albers, Farid Anvari, Matthew A J Apps, Shlomo Argamon, Marcel A. L. M. van Assen, Thom Baguley, Raymond Becker, Stephen D. Benning, Daniel E. Bradford, Erin Michelle Buchanan, Aaron R. Caldwell, Ben Van Calster, Rickard Carlsson, Sau-Chin Chen, Bryan Chung, Lincoln Colling, Gary S. Collins, Zander Crook, Emily S. Cross, Sameera Daniels, Henrik Danielsson, Lisa M. DeBruine, Daniel J. Dunleavy, Brian D. Earp, michele feist, Jason D. Ferrell, James G. Field, Nicholas William Fox, Amanda Friesen, Caio Gomes, James A. Grange, Andrew P. Grieve, Robert Guggenberger, Anne‐Laura van Harmelen, Fred Hasselman, Kevin D. Hochard, Mark R. Hoffarth, Nicholas P. Holmes, Michael Ingre, Peder Mortvedt Isager, Hanna Isotalus, Christer Johansson, Konrad Juszczyk, David A. Kenny, Ahmed A. Khalil, Barbara Konat, Junpeng Lao, Erik Gahner Larsen, Gerine M. A. Lodder, Jiří Lukavský, Christopher R. Madan, David Manheim, Mónica González-Márquez, Stephen R. Martin, Andrea E. Martin, Deborah G. Mayo, Randy J. McCarthy, Kevin James McConway, Colin McFarland, Gustav Nilsonne, Amanda Q. X. Nio, Cilene Lino de Oliveira, Sam Parsons, Gerit Pfuhl, Kimberly A. Quinn, John J. Sakon, S. Adil Sarıbay, Iris K. Schneider, Manojkumar Selvaraju, Zsuzsika Sjoerds, Samuel Smith, Tim Smits, Jeffrey R. Spies, Vishnu Sreekumar, Crystal N. Steltenpohl, Neil Stenhouse, Wojciech Świątkowski, Miguel A. Vadillo, Matt N Williams, Samantha E. Williams, Donald R. Williams, Jean‐Jacques Orban de Xivry, Tal Yarkoni, Ignazio Ziano, Rolf Antonius Zwaan

Bibliographic record

Venuenot available
Typepreprint
Languageen
FieldDecision Sciences
TopicForecasting Techniques and Applications
Canadian institutionsUniversity of VictoriaUniversity of British Columbia
FundersEconomic and Social Research CouncilBiotechnology and Biological Sciences Research Council
KeywordsAlpha (finance)Computer scienceStatisticsMathematics

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

In response to recommendations to redefine statistical significance to p ≤ .005, we propose that researchers should transparently report and justify all choices they make when designing a study, including the alpha level.

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

How this classification was reachedexpand

Full frame machine prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.267
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.818
Version: metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061cValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesMetaresearch
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Theoretical or conceptual · Consensus signal: none
GenreCandidate signal: Methods · Consensus signal: none
Teacher disagreement score0.267
Threshold uncertainty score0.903

Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.2670.818
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0040.003
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0070.005
Bibliometrics0.0080.009
Science and technology studies0.0060.017
Scholarly communication0.0180.010
Open science0.0060.005
Research integrity0.0310.054
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0490.069

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.531
GPT teacher head0.535
Teacher spread0.003 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it

Classification

machine, unvalidated

Machine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.

Study designTheoretical or conceptual
Domainnot available
GenreMethods

How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".

Quick stats

Citations7
Published2017
Admission routes1
Has abstractyes

Explore more

Same topicForecasting Techniques and ApplicationsFrench-language works237,207