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Record W4293859671 · doi:10.31234/osf.io/9s3y6

Justify Your Alpha

2017· preprint· en· W4293859671 on OpenAlex
Daniël Lakens, Federico Adolfi, Casper J. Albers, Farid Anvari, Matthew A J Apps, Shlomo Argamon, Marcel A. L. M. van Assen, Thom Baguley, Raymond Becker, Stephen D. Benning, Daniel E. Bradford, Erin Michelle Buchanan, Aaron R. Caldwell, Ben Van Calster, Rickard Carlsson, Sau-Chin Chen, Bryan Chung, Lincoln Colling, Gary S. Collins, Zander Crook, Emily S. Cross, Sameera Daniels, Henrik Danielsson, Lisa M. DeBruine, Daniel J. Dunleavy, Brian D. Earp, michele feist, Jason D. Ferrell, James G. Field, Nicholas William Fox, Amanda Friesen, Caio Gomes, James A. Grange, Andrew P. Grieve, Robert Guggenberger, Anne‐Laura van Harmelen, Fred Hasselman, Kevin D. Hochard, Mark R. Hoffarth, Nicholas P. Holmes, Michael Ingre, Peder Mortvedt Isager, Hanna Isotalus, Christer Johansson, Konrad Juszczyk, David A. Kenny, Ahmed A. Khalil, Barbara Konat, Junpeng Lao, Erik Gahner Larsen, Gerine M. A. Lodder, Jiří Lukavský, Christopher R. Madan, David Manheim, Mónica González-Márquez, Stephen R. Martin, Andrea E. Martin, Deborah G. Mayo, Randy J. McCarthy, Kevin James McConway, Colin McFarland, Gustav Nilsonne, Amanda Q. X. Nio, Cilene Lino de Oliveira, Sam Parsons, Gerit Pfuhl, Kimberly A. Quinn, John J. Sakon, S. Adil Sarıbay, Iris K. Schneider, Manojkumar Selvaraju, Zsuzsika Sjoerds, Samuel Smith, Tim Smits, Jeffrey R. Spies, Vishnu Sreekumar, Crystal N. Steltenpohl, Neil Stenhouse, Wojciech Świątkowski, Miguel A. Vadillo, Matt N Williams, Samantha E. Williams, Donald R. Williams, Jean‐Jacques Orban de Xivry, Tal Yarkoni, Ignazio Ziano, Rolf Antonius Zwaan

Why this work is in the frame

A frame that forgets how it found something cannot be audited. These are the routes that admitted this work.

affAt least one author lists a Canadian institution in the pinned OpenAlex snapshot.

Bibliographic record

Venuenot available
Typepreprint
Languageen
FieldDecision Sciences
TopicForecasting Techniques and Applications
Canadian institutionsUniversity of VictoriaUniversity of British Columbia
FundersEconomic and Social Research CouncilBiotechnology and Biological Sciences Research Council
KeywordsAlpha (finance)Computer scienceStatisticsMathematics

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

In response to recommendations to redefine statistical significance to p ≤ .005, we propose that researchers should transparently report and justify all choices they make when designing a study, including the alpha level.

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

Full frame distilled prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.002
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.002
Version: codex-gemma-dda1882f352aValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesScholarly communication, Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)
Consensus categoriesInsufficient payload (model declined to judge)
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Not applicable · Consensus signal: none
GenreCandidate signal: Other · Consensus signal: none
Teacher disagreement score0.806
Threshold uncertainty score1.000

Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0020.002
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0000.000
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0000.000
Bibliometrics0.0000.000
Science and technology studies0.0000.000
Scholarly communication0.0010.000
Open science0.0030.003
Research integrity0.0000.000
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0020.002

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.531
GPT teacher head0.535
Teacher spread0.003 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it

Quick stats

Citations7
Published2017
Admission routes1
Has abstractyes

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