Antibody-mediated Rejection Without Detectable Donor-specific Antibody Releases Donor-derived Cell-free DNA: Results From the Trifecta Study
Bibliographic record
Abstract
BACKGROUND: Trifecta (ClinicalTrials.gov #NCT04239703) is a prospective trial defining relationships between donor-derived cell-free DNA (dd-cfDNA), donor-specific antibody (DSA), and molecular findings in kidney transplant biopsies. Previous analyses of double results showed dd-cfDNA was strongly associated with rejection-associated molecules in the biopsy. The present study analyzed the triple results in 280 biopsies, focusing on the question of dd-cfDNA levels in DSA-negative antibody-mediated rejection (AMR). METHODS: Molecular Microscope Diagnostic System biopsy testing was performed at Alberta Transplant Applied Genomics Centre, dd-cfDNA testing at Natera, Inc, and central HLA antibody testing at One Lambda Inc. Local DSA and histologic diagnoses were assigned per center standard-of-care. RESULTS: DSA was frequently negative in both molecular (56%) and histologic (51%) AMR. DSA-negative AMR had slightly less molecular AMR activity and histologic peritubular capillaritis than DSA-positive AMR. However, all AMRs-DSA-positive or -negative-showed elevated %dd-cfDNA. There was no association between dd-cfDNA and DSA in biopsies without rejection. In AMR, %dd-cfDNA ≥1.0 was more frequent (75%) than DSA positivity (44%). In logistic regression, dd-cfDNA percent (area under the curve [AUC] 0.85) or quantity (AUC 0.86) predicted molecular AMR better than DSA (AUC 0.66). However, the best predictions incorporated both dd-cfDNA and DSA, plus time posttransplant (AUC 0.88). CONCLUSIONS: DSA-negative AMR has moderately decreased mean molecular and histologic AMR-associated features compared with DSA-positive AMR, though similarly elevated dd-cfDNA levels. In predicting AMR at the time of indication biopsies in this population, dd-cfDNA is superior to DSA, reflecting the prevalence of DSA-negative AMR, but the optimal predictions incorporated both dd-cfDNA and DSA.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame distilled prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.
Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one teacher head, not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".