Total-evidence dating and the phylogenetic affinities of early fossil passerines
Why this work is in the frame
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Bibliographic record
Abstract
Passeriformes is the most diverse and globally widespread order of living birds. However, little work has been done on the phylogenetic relationships within their fossil record. Recent advances in total-evidence phylogenetic methods have improved topological and age estimation by using morphological, molecular and temporal data. This provides the opportunity to investigate the phylogenetic affinities of five recently described passerines from the early Oligocene of Europe, including some of the most complete and oldest passerine fossils described to date. We compare maximum parsimony, non-clock Bayesian inference, and total-evidence tip-dating Bayesian analysis to estimate relationships and divergence times of the fossil passerines. We find Wieslochia weissi, Crosnoornis nargizia and NT-LBR-0014 form a clade within Tyranni (suboscines) either in the stem or within Old-World suboscines (Eurylaimides). Jamna szybiaki is recovered as the sister lineage of crown Passeriformes. We confirmed the oscine affinities of Resoviaornis jamrozi. Its precise position within Passeri remains ambiguous, but affinities within Corvides or Passerides may be more likely considering the biogeographic history of the group. We emphasize the importance of an informative tree age prior in total-evidence dating analyses and appeal for the further development of models for phylogenetic inference using morphology.
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Full frame distilled prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.
Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.002 | 0.001 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it