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Record W4408824520 · doi:10.5194/oos2025-302

Achieving 30 by 30: Legal Obligations and the Role of Bst Scientific Evidence Available

2025· preprint· en· W4408824520 on OpenAlexaboutno aff
Anna von Rebay

Bibliographic record

Venuenot available
Typepreprint
Languageen
FieldMedicine
TopicBiomedical Ethics and Regulation
Canadian institutionsnot available
Fundersnot available
KeywordsScientific evidenceBusinessPolitical scienceLaw and economicsLawEngineering ethicsSociologyEpistemologyPhilosophyEngineering

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

Despite global efforts, States have not met the 10% Ocean protection target set for 2020. With only 8.2% of the Ocean and a mere 2.4% of the High Seas protected today, achieving the Kunming-Montreal Global Biodiversity Framework (GBF) goal of designating 30% of the Ocean as MPAs by 2030 remains a distant prospect. A key barrier to effective marine protection lies in the lack of enforcement of obligations and the failure of States to adhere to the best scientific evidence available.In May 2024, the International Tribunal for the Law of the Sea (ITLOS) issued an Advisory Opinion on States' obligations to protect and preserve the marine environment under Art. 192 ff of the UN Convention on the Law of the Sea, specifically in relation to climate change. The Opinion’s central findings were twofold: States must adopt specific measures to meet their obligations to protect and preserve the marine environment, and these measures must be guided by the best scientific evidence available.Drawing from this Advisory Opinion and her internationally acclaimed thesis, The Designation of MPAs: A Legally Binding Obligation (Springer Nature 2023), Dr. Anna von Rebay will demonstrate in this keynote presentation how these principles apply to other significant stressors of the marine environment, particularly bottom trawling and workshop how States’ binding obligations to protect the marine environment can and should be implemented.Scientific evidence on the destructive impact of bottom trawling on the marine environment is undeniable, yet it remains underrepresented in global decision-making. Findings include that deep-sea coral and seamount ecosystems are widespread throughout the world’s Ocean; bottom trawl fishing thereby poses a major threat to the biodiversity of vulnerable deep-sea habitats and ecosystems. Losses of up to 95-98% of the coral cover of seamounts as a result of deep-sea bottom trawl fishing have been documented. High seas bottom trawl fishing led to the serial or sequential depletion of targeted deep-sea fish stocks, while producing a large amount of untargeted bycatch.This keynote will provide a vital impetus for OOS 2025, urging the international community to fully acknowledge and enforce the binding legal framework governing Ocean protection. The proposed outcome of the town hall is to inspire ideas for how coastal and other communities can leverage international obligations to hold governments accountable for using the best scientific evidence to protect, restore, and sustainably use marine ecosystems. This will deliver a compelling call to action, underscoring that the 30 by 30 target is not merely an aspirational goal but a legally binding duty. Immediate, effective action is essential to avoid international liability, ensure compliance with UNCLOS, and secure meaningful protection for our Ocean. By advocating a global ban on bottom trawling, backed by the best scientific evidence available, this town hall promotes the creation of the world’s largest MPA and contributes to achieving the 30 by 30 objective.

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

How this classification was reachedexpand

Full frame distilled prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.001
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.000
Version: codex-gemma-dda1882f352aValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesnone
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Not applicable · Consensus signal: none
GenreCandidate signal: Empirical · Consensus signal: none
Teacher disagreement score0.709
Threshold uncertainty score0.913

Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0010.000
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0000.000
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0000.000
Bibliometrics0.0000.000
Science and technology studies0.0000.002
Scholarly communication0.0000.000
Open science0.0000.000
Research integrity0.0000.001
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0010.000

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.028
GPT teacher head0.304
Teacher spread0.276 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it

Classification

machine, unvalidated

Machine predicted; a candidate call from one teacher head, not a consensus.

The models applied no category: nothing in the taxonomy fit this work.
Study designNot applicable
Domainnot available
GenreEmpirical

How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".

Quick stats

Citations0
Published2025
Admission routes1
Has abstractyes

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