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Minimum clinically important differences in acute pain: a patient-level re-analysis of randomized controlled analgesic trials submitted to the US Food and Drug Administration

2025· article· en· W4410338455 on OpenAlexaff
Christopher J. Miller, Warren B. Bilker, Ian DeLorey, Charles E. Argoff, Russell L. Bell, Andrew Conroy, Jennifer S. Gewandter, Ian Gilron, Jennifer A. Haythornthwaite, Nathaniel P. Katz, Tara McWilliams, Katherine N. Theken, John T. Farrar

Bibliographic record

VenuePain · 2025
Typearticle
Languageen
FieldMedicine
TopicAnesthesia and Pain Management
Canadian institutionsQueen's University
FundersU.S. Food and Drug Administration
KeywordsMedicineAnalgesicVisual analogue scalePlaceboAnesthesiaRandomized controlled trialOrthopedic surgeryAcute painClinical trialArea under the curvePhysical therapySurgeryInternal medicine

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

ABSTRACT: The lack of established minimum clinically important differences in acute pain has made it challenging to interpret efficacy in analgesic trials. We performed a patient-level re-analysis of double-blind, placebo-controlled trials submitted to the US Food and Drug Administration to estimate minimum clinically important differences in acute postoperative pain. Trials were categorized by acute surgical pain model: dental extraction, bunionectomy, orthopedic surgery, and soft tissue surgery. Pain intensity was assessed using the 0 to 10 numeric rating scale (NRS) or 0 to 100 visual analog scale, with visual analog scale scores converted to NRS for analysis. To avoid misclassification from arbitrary thresholds on global impression of change or pain relief scales, meaningful pain relief was determined using the double-stopwatch technique, where patients actively indicated the times they experienced perceptible and meaningful relief. Across 29 trials, 9047 patients with moderate-to-severe baseline pain were included. Patients with severe baseline pain (NRS ≥7) reported meaningful relief at a higher absolute NRS and required larger absolute reductions in pain intensity than those with moderate baseline pain (NRS 4-<7). However, the percent reduction in pain at meaningful relief remained stable across baseline pain levels, suggesting patients assess meaningful relief in relative rather than absolute terms. No appreciable differences in the changes in pain at meaningful relief were observed by age, sex, drug, or route of administration. Receiver operating characteristic curve analysis identified a 50% reduction in pain intensity as a consistent and clinically meaningful threshold across surgical pain models, supporting its use as a standardized patient-centric metric for evaluating analgesic efficacy.

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

How this classification was reachedexpand

Full frame distilled prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.064
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.021
Version: codex-gemma-dda1882f352aValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesMetaresearch
Consensus categoriesMetaresearch
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Observational · Consensus signal: none
GenreCandidate signal: Empirical · Consensus signal: Empirical
Teacher disagreement score0.239
Threshold uncertainty score0.988

Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0640.021
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0000.000
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0030.001
Bibliometrics0.0000.001
Science and technology studies0.0000.000
Scholarly communication0.0000.000
Open science0.0000.000
Research integrity0.0000.000
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0000.000

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.033
GPT teacher head0.311
Teacher spread0.278 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it

Classification

machine, unvalidated

Machine predicted; both teacher heads agree on what is shown here.

Study designObservational
Domainnot available
GenreEmpirical

How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".

Quick stats

Citations10
Published2025
Admission routes1
Has abstractyes

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