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Record W4413641730 · doi:10.1186/s12915-025-02366-w

Understanding the traits underlying vaccine-driven virulence evolution in malaria parasites

2025· article· en· W4413641730 on OpenAlexafffund
Tsukushi Kamiya, Nicole Mideo

Bibliographic record

VenueBMC Biology · 2025
Typearticle
Languageen
FieldMedicine
TopicMalaria Research and Control
Canadian institutionsUniversity of Toronto
FundersNatural Sciences and Engineering Research Council of Canada
KeywordsBiologyVirulenceVaccinationParasite hostingMalaria vaccineMalariaImmune systemVaccine efficacyImmunityImmunologyAntigenic variationHost (biology)Experimental evolutionVirologyPlasmodium falciparumGeneticsGene

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

BACKGROUND: Vaccine-driven evolution can erode the beneficial effects of vaccination and is a concern, especially for newly introduced vaccines. While obvious candidates for vaccine-driven evolution are the precise parasite antigens that are the targets of vaccine-induced immunity, traits underlying parasite virulence may also evolve. Previous experimental work in rodent malaria demonstrated that evolution in vaccinated hosts resulted in increased parasite virulence, as measured by anemia (minimum red blood cell density). However, no genetic changes were detected at vaccine target sites, leaving the underlying traits or their interactions with host responses unclear. Using a hierarchical Bayesian framework, we fitted a mathematical model of within-host malaria infection dynamics to experimental time series data from infections in mice inoculated with parasites that had evolved in either vaccinated mice or sham-vaccinated (control) mice. We compared parameter estimates across treatments to understand which parasite traits could plausibly explain differences in infection dynamics and virulence. RESULTS: Vaccine-evolved parasites elicited lower targeted immune killing and anemia-driven erythropoiesis, differences that were observed at the level of treatment means and when accounting for individual-level variation. We validated our model by calculating early-infection parasite multiplication rates, finding no differences across treatments (either experimental or simulated)-differences that would be expected if the vaccine target antigen (AMA-1) had evolved. CONCLUSIONS: Our results emphasize the complexity of virulence, showing that parasite modulation of host responses can influence disease severity. We also highlight the important role for evolution of parasite traits beyond target antigens in response to vaccination.

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

How this classification was reachedexpand

Full frame machine prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.001
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.004
Version: metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061cValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesnone
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Observational · Consensus signal: none
GenreCandidate signal: Empirical · Consensus signal: Empirical
Teacher disagreement score0.001
Threshold uncertainty score0.006

Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0010.004
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0000.000
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0000.000
Bibliometrics0.0000.000
Science and technology studies0.0000.000
Scholarly communication0.0000.001
Open science0.0000.000
Research integrity0.0010.001
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0010.000

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.106
GPT teacher head0.359
Teacher spread0.252 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it

Classification

machine, unvalidated

Machine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.

The models applied no category: nothing in the taxonomy fit this work.
Study designObservational
Domainnot available
GenreEmpirical

How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".

Quick stats

Citations0
Published2025
Admission routes2
Has abstractyes

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