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Record W4415161513 · doi:10.1080/00908320.2025.2563269

Precautionary Environmental Impact Assessments under the BBNJ Agreement: More than a Minor or Transitory Effect on the Marine Environment?

2025· article· en· W4415161513 on OpenAlexaff
Warwick Gullett, Neil Craik

Bibliographic record

VenueOcean Development & International Law · 2025
Typearticle
Languageen
FieldEnvironmental Science
TopicInternational Environmental Law and Policies
Canadian institutionsBalsillie School of International Affairs
Fundersnot available
KeywordsEnvironmental impact assessmentMinor (academic)Impact assessmentPrecautionary principleRisk assessment

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

The Agreement on the Conservation and Sustainable Use of Marine Biological Diversity of Areas Beyond National (BBNJ Agreement) heralds a new era in the international legal framework to protect the ocean from harmful effects of human activities. One of its achievements is that it formalized global consensus on the imperative to consider conducting environmental impact assessments (EIAs) of planned activities that may have “more than a minor or transitory effect” on the ocean in areas beyond national jurisdiction or where the effects are “unknown or poorly understood.” A commendable feature of the EIA provisions is that they adopt core tenets of the precautionary principle—the foremost environmental planning principle that provides the theoretical underpinnings for strong environmental protection measures. The BBNJ Agreement thus provides an advanced EIA process—even more advanced than some national EIA processes in developed states with half a century of legislative EIA experience. This article examines the BBNJ Agreement’s provisions on EIA and their alignment with the precautionary principle and considers the potential of the BBNJ Agreement’s EIA procedures to improve the management of the marine environment in areas beyond national jurisdiction, and within.

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

How this classification was reachedexpand

Full frame machine prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.029
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.048
Version: metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061cValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesnone
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Theoretical or conceptual · Consensus signal: Theoretical or conceptual
GenreCandidate signal: Empirical · Consensus signal: none
Teacher disagreement score0.056
Threshold uncertainty score0.154

Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0290.048
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0010.001
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0010.001
Bibliometrics0.0010.001
Science and technology studies0.0070.017
Scholarly communication0.0120.010
Open science0.0030.007
Research integrity0.0130.014
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0040.001

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.008
GPT teacher head0.256
Teacher spread0.248 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it

Classification

machine, unvalidated

Machine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.

The models applied no category: nothing in the taxonomy fit this work.
Study designTheoretical or conceptual
Domainnot available
GenreEmpirical

How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".

Quick stats

Citations1
Published2025
Admission routes1
Has abstractyes

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