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Record W4416902892 · doi:10.48550/arxiv.2504.19670

A search for Maunder-minimum candidate stars

2025· preprint· en· W4416902892 on OpenAlexfundno aff
S. P. Järvinen, K. G. Strassmeier

Bibliographic record

VenueArXiv.org · 2025
Typepreprint
Languageen
FieldPhysics and Astronomy
TopicStellar, planetary, and galactic studies
Canadian institutionsnot available
FundersLeibniz-GemeinschaftW. M. Keck FoundationAgence Nationale de la RechercheAustralian Astronomical Optics-MacquarieDeutsche ForschungsgemeinschaftJavna Agencija za Raziskovalno Dejavnost RSMacquarie UniversityNatural Sciences and Engineering Research Council of CanadaJohns Hopkins UniversitySchweizerischer Nationalfonds zur Förderung der Wissenschaftlichen ForschungIstituto Nazionale di AstrofisicaNational Science Foundation
KeywordsStarsMetallicitySpectral lineFlux (metallurgy)Stellar classificationRadiative transfer

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

Stars with very low levels of magnetic activity provide an opportunity for a more quantitative comparison with the Sun during its Maunder minimum. We employ spectra from the RAVE survey in a search for particularly low-activity stars with the goal of identifying candidates for so-called Maunder-minimum stars. Spectra were used to measure the relative flux in the cores of the Ca II infrared-triplet (IRT) lines. Those were converted to absolute emission-line fluxes and were corrected with target fluxes from high-resolution STELLA and ultra-high-resolution PEPSI spectra. Absolute Ca II IRT fluxes for a total of 78111 RAVE dwarf stars are presented and compared with fluxes of the 123 stars from our high-resolution STELLA+PEPSI sample. RAVE fluxes appear higher than the STELLA and PEPSI fluxes by on average 19% for IRT-1, 21% for IRT-2, and 25% for IRT-3 due to their lower spectral resolution. Our sample also spans a metallicity [Fe/H] range relative to the Sun of -1.5 to +0.5 dex. We confirm the strong dependency of IRT fluxes on metallicity and quantify it to be at most $\pm$14% in the B-V range 0.53-0.73. Without a metallicity correction, practically all very-low-activity RAVE dwarfs show a super-solar metallicity. After correcting for spectral resolution and for metallicity, we find 13 RAVE stars out of 13326 (0.1%) that fall well below our empirical lower flux bound from high-resolution versus B-V. For solar B-V, this relates to a photospheric uncorrected radiative loss in the IRT lines of log R_IRT=-4.13 (~20% below the solar-minimum value in late 2016). However, 11 targets turned out to be evolved stars based on their Gaia DR3 parallaxes. Two stars, TIC 352227373 (G2V) and TYC 7560-477-1 (G7V), are our only Maunder-minimum candidates from the present search. Contrary to the initial suggestion from the Mount-Wilson H&K Survey, we conclude that such stars are very rare.

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

How this classification was reachedexpand

Full frame distilled prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.000
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.000
Version: codex-gemma-dda1882f352aValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesMeta-epidemiology (narrow)
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Observational · Consensus signal: Observational
GenreCandidate signal: Empirical · Consensus signal: Empirical
Teacher disagreement score0.110
Threshold uncertainty score1.000

Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0000.000
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0000.000
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0010.000
Bibliometrics0.0000.000
Science and technology studies0.0000.000
Scholarly communication0.0000.000
Open science0.0000.001
Research integrity0.0000.001
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0000.000

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.045
GPT teacher head0.294
Teacher spread0.249 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it

Classification

machine, unvalidated

Machine predicted; a candidate call from one teacher head, not a consensus.

Study designObservational
Domainnot available
GenreEmpirical

How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".

Quick stats

Citations0
Published2025
Admission routes1
Has abstractyes

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