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Population Risk Measures

2005· letter· en· W2008986042 on OpenAlexaboutno aff
Sholom Wacholder

Bibliographic record

VenueEpidemiology · 2005
Typeletter
Languageen
FieldEconomics, Econometrics and Finance
TopicHealth Systems, Economic Evaluations, Quality of Life
Canadian institutionsnot available
Fundersnot available
KeywordsConfusionAttributable riskPopulationTerminologyEpidemiologyQuarter (Canadian coin)MedicineDemographyPsychologyEnvironmental healthGeographyPathologyPhilosophySociology

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

To the Editor: In my recent commentary,1 I had noted some confusion over the nomenclature for measures of the potential impact of an intervention on risk in a community. I underestimated the complete range of terminology, however. Soon after my commentary appeared, Noel Weiss pointed out to me that a measure Tom Koepsell and he had called attributable risk to the population (PAR) in their 2003 textbook2 is identical to attributable community risk (ACR), as used in MacMahon et al3 and my commentary.1 Koepsell and Weiss refer to the measure commonly called PAR as attributable risk to the population percent (PAR%) and clearly indicate the distinction between the questions addressed by the 2 measures.2 The percent in “PAR%” refers to the percentage of cases attributable to the exposure, not the percentage of the population who develop the disease due to the exposure. I also underestimated the complete range of confusion. Although Professor Weiss taught me PAR and PAR% in class in 1977, I did not appreciate the importance of the distinction for a quarter century. Sholom Wacholder Division of Cancer Epidemiology and Genetics National Cancer Institute Bethesda, MD [email protected]

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

How this classification was reachedexpand

Full frame distilled prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.053
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.055
Version: codex-gemma-dda1882f352aValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesMetaresearch, Meta-epidemiology (narrow), Research integrity, Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)
Consensus categoriesMetaresearch, Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Not applicable · Consensus signal: Not applicable
GenreCandidate signal: Commentary · Consensus signal: Commentary
Teacher disagreement score0.075
Threshold uncertainty score1.000

Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0530.055
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0000.001
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0040.000
Bibliometrics0.0010.000
Science and technology studies0.0000.000
Scholarly communication0.0000.000
Open science0.0010.000
Research integrity0.0020.002
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0010.014

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.602
GPT teacher head0.485
Teacher spread0.117 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it

Classification

machine, unvalidated

Machine predicted; both teacher heads agree on what is shown here.

Study designNot applicable
Domainnot available
GenreCommentary

How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".

Quick stats

Citations2
Published2005
Admission routes1
Has abstractyes

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