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Record W3209267706 · doi:10.1001/jamaoncol.2021.5153

Implications of Selection Bias Due to Delayed Study Entry in Clinical Genomic Studies

2021· article· en· W3209267706 on OpenAlexaff
Samantha Brown, Jessica A. Lavery, Ronglai Shen, Axel Martin, Kenneth L. Kehl, Shawn M. Sweeney, Eva M. Lepisto, Hira Rizvi, Caroline G. McCarthy, Nikolaus Schultz, Jeremy L. Warner, Ben Ho Park, Philippe L. Bédard, Gregory J. Riely, Deborah Schrag, Katherine S. Panageas, Margaret Foti, Yekaterina B. Khotskaya, Michael V. Fiandalo, Benjamin Groß, Brooke Mastrogiacomo, Mahdi Sarmardy, Marilyn M. Li, Adam Resnick, Angela J. Waanders, Jena Lilly, Richard D. Carvajal, Raúl Rabadán, Matthew Ingham, Susan Hsaio, Jean Abraham, James D. Brenton, Oscar M. Rueda, Carlos Caldas, Mikel Valgañón, Dilrini De Silva, Chris Boursnell, Raquel Rodríguez-García, Ezequiel Rodriguez, Birgit Nimmervoll, Ethan Cerami, Matthew D. Ducar, Priti Kumari, Neal I. Lindeman, Laura MacConnaill, John A. Orechia, Priyanka Shivdasani, Eliezer M. Van Allen, Jason M. Johnson, Pasi A. Jänne, Michael J. Hassett, Sindy Pimentel, Parin Sripakdeevong, Katherine A. Janeway, Matthew Meyerson, Daniel M. Quinn, Oya Cushing, Kevin M. Haigis, Diana Miller, Alexander Gustav, Angela C. Tramontano, Simon Arango Baquero, Jonathan L. Bell, Michelle Green, Shannon J. McCall, Michael Datto, Fabien Calvo, Fabrice André, Meurice Guillaume, Semih Doğan, Lacroix Ludovic, Jean Scoazec, Monica Ardenos, Gilles Vassal, Stefan Michels, Victor E. Velculescu, Alexander S. Baras, Christopher D. Gocke, Julie R. Brahmer, Charles L. Sawyers, David B. Solit, Stuart M. Gardos, Marc Ladanyi, S. Joseph Sirintrapun, Stacy B. Thomas, Andrew Zarski, Ahmet Zehir, Alexia Iasonosa, John Philip, Andrew L. Kung, Ritika Kundra, Julia E. Rudolph, Hira Rivzi, J. Schwartz, Maufur Bhuiya, Cynthia Chu, Raymond N. DuBois, Tony van de Velde, Hugo M. Horlings, Harm van Tinteren, Martijn P. Lolkema, Les Nijman, Mariska Bierkens, Jelle ten Hoeve, Emilie Voest, Annemieke C. Hiemstra, Gabe S. Sonke, Jacques Craenmehr, Jan Hudeček, Kim Monkhorst, Walter J. Urba, Brady Bernard, Brian Piening, Carlo Bifulco, Paul Tittel, Julie Cramer, Justin Guinney, Celeste Yu, Xindi Guo, Alyssa Acebedo, Philip W. Gold, Neil A. Bailey, Sabah Kadri, Jeremy P. Segal, Wanjari Pankhuri, Peng Wang, Steinhardt George, Moung Christine, Laura van’t Veer, Eric Talevich, Amanda Wren, E. Alejandro Sweet‐Cordero, Michelle L. Turski, Suzanne Kamel‐Reid, Zhibin Lu, Trevor J. Pugh, Lillian L. Siu, Stuart Watt, Natasha B. Leighl, Lailah Ahmed, Geeta Krishna, Carlos Virtaenen, Helen Chow, Demi Plagianakos, Samantha Del Rossi, Nitthusha Singaravelan, Sevan Hakgor, Nazish Qazi, Alisha Nguyen, Natalie Stickle, Thomas Stricker, Christine Micheel, Ingrid Anderson, Leigh F. Jones, Lucy Lu Wang, Christine M. Lovly, Michele LeNoue Newton, Ben Park, Daniel Fabbri, Joseph Coco, Chen Ye, Sandip Chaugai, Sanjay Mishra, Yuanchu James Yang, Wen Li, Rodrigo Dienstmann, Susana Aguilar Izquierdo, Cristina Viaplana Donato, Francesco M. Mancuso, Ümit Topaloĝlu, Liang Liu, Meijian Guan, Wei Zhang, Guangxu Jin, James C. Knight, Michael D’Eletto, E. Zeynep Ormay, Shrikant Mane, Kaya Bilgüvar, Walther Zenta, Daniel Dykas

Bibliographic record

VenueJAMA Oncology · 2021
Typearticle
Languageen
FieldBiochemistry, Genetics and Molecular Biology
TopicGenetic Associations and Epidemiology
Canadian institutionsPrincess Margaret Cancer Centre
FundersNational Cancer Institute
KeywordsMedicineMilestoneTruncation (statistics)Lung cancerData setCancerSurvival analysisOncologyInternal medicineStatistics

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

IMPORTANCE: Real-world data sets that combine clinical and genomic data may be subject to left truncation (when potential study participants are not included because they have already passed the milestone of interest at the time of study recruitment). The lapse between diagnosis and molecular testing can present analytic challenges and threaten the validity and interpretation of survival analyses. OBSERVATIONS: Effects of ignoring left truncation when estimating overall survival are illustrated using data from the American Association for Cancer Research (AACR) Project Genomics Evidence Neoplasia Information Exchange Biopharma Collaborative (GENIE BPC), and a straightforward risk-set adjustment approach is described. Ignoring left truncation results in overestimation of overall survival: unadjusted median survival estimates from diagnosis among patients with stage IV non-small cell lung cancer or stage IV colorectal cancer were overestimated by more than 1 year. CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE: Clinicogenomic data are a valuable resource for evaluation of real-world cancer outcomes and should be analyzed using appropriate methods to maximize their potential. Analysts must become adept at application of appropriate statistical methods to ensure valid, meaningful, and generalizable research findings.

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

How this classification was reachedexpand

Full frame distilled prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.001
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.002
Version: codex-gemma-dda1882f352aValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesnone
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Observational · Consensus signal: Observational
GenreCandidate signal: Empirical · Consensus signal: Empirical
Teacher disagreement score0.064
Threshold uncertainty score0.389

Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0010.002
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0000.000
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0000.000
Bibliometrics0.0000.000
Science and technology studies0.0000.000
Scholarly communication0.0000.000
Open science0.0000.000
Research integrity0.0000.000
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0000.000

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.076
GPT teacher head0.418
Teacher spread0.342 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it

Classification

machine, unvalidated

Machine predicted; a candidate call from one teacher head, not a consensus.

The models applied no category: nothing in the taxonomy fit this work.
Study designObservational
Domainnot available
GenreEmpirical

How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".

Quick stats

Citations50
Published2021
Admission routes1
Has abstractyes

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