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Record W4411735566 · doi:10.1177/17407745251350598

Afternoon discussion: Statistical issues in clinical trials conference on dose finding

2025· article· en· W4411735566 on OpenAlexaff
Anna Heath, Kelley M. Kidwell

Bibliographic record

VenueClinical Trials · 2025
Typearticle
Languageen
FieldMathematics
TopicStatistical Methods in Clinical Trials
Canadian institutionsInstitute for Clinical Evaluative SciencesSickKids FoundationHospital for Sick ChildrenPublic Health OntarioUniversity of Toronto
Fundersnot available
KeywordsClinical trialMedicineMedical physicsInternal medicine

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

The adoption of innovative, model-based, and computationally intensive clinical trial designs is challenged by barriers including clinician engagement, regulatory acceptance, dissemination beyond major research institutions, and patient accrual. This session explored strategies to overcome these barriers. Key approaches discussed included the development of user-friendly software and interactive platforms to enhance transparency, open sharing of algorithms, and recognition of software contributions in academic publishing. Building collaborations with stakeholders predisposed to innovation, fostering interdisciplinary communication, and producing complementary methodological and clinical publications were emphasized as essential steps. Practical considerations for trials with small sample sizes included the use of adaptive designs, individualized trials, and alternative optimization strategies when traditional theoretical assumptions are infeasible. A major theme of the discussion was the importance of model assumptions in innovative designs. Questions were raised about the sensitivity of results to these assumptions and the robustness of methods, particularly under limited sample sizes. Addressing this requires extensive simulation studies across varied scenarios to assess operating characteristics. The focus should be on achieving clinically meaningful goals-such as identifying effective dose regions-rather than perfect model specification. Speakers emphasized the need to acknowledge and, when feasible, test assumptions post hoc, integrating such verification as secondary objectives in trial design. An iterative scientific process was encouraged, recognizing that trials not only serve immediate clinical goals but also advance broader scientific understanding. Assumptions provide a principled foundation for methodology, but thoughtful scrutiny of their realism was urged, given the risk of relying on overly strong or untestable premises. The potential of metaheuristic algorithms was highlighted for efficiently identifying optimal designs across different model assumptions, supporting robustness evaluations. Practical implementation should adapt optimal designs to stakeholder needs while preserving acceptable statistical efficiency. In sum, advancing the adoption of innovative designs requires improved communication, infrastructure, and methodological transparency, alongside careful evaluation of model assumptions and robustness.

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

How this classification was reachedexpand

Full frame distilled prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.403
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.962
Version: codex-gemma-dda1882f352aValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesMetaresearch, Meta-epidemiology (narrow), Research integrity, Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)
Consensus categoriesMetaresearch, Research integrity
DomainCandidate signal: Methods · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Theoretical or conceptual · Consensus signal: Theoretical or conceptual
GenreCandidate signal: Methods · Consensus signal: Methods
Teacher disagreement score0.728
Threshold uncertainty score1.000

Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.4030.962
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0010.000
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0120.002
Bibliometrics0.0000.001
Science and technology studies0.0000.001
Scholarly communication0.0000.000
Open science0.0010.001
Research integrity0.0020.003
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0040.001

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.914
GPT teacher head0.755
Teacher spread0.159 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it

Classification

machine, unvalidated

Machine predicted; both teacher heads agree on what is shown here.

Study designTheoretical or conceptual
DomainMethods
GenreMethods

How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".

Quick stats

Citations0
Published2025
Admission routes1
Has abstractyes

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